| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 3,622 | 79.1¢ | 96.7¢ | $3,502 | +$637 | +$8.08 | |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 3,877 | 66.3¢ | 84.5¢ | $3,276 | +$705 | −$14 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2,000 | 38¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,770 | +$1,011 | $0 | |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,575 | 87.1¢ | 97.5¢ | $1,536 | +$164 | +$5.05 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 14.1¢ | $1,405 | +$1,333 | $0 | |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1,500 | 67¢ | 88¢ | $1,320 | +$315 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 1,357 | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1,302 | +$136 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20.1k | 2.9¢ | 6¢ | $1,206 | +$629 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1,500 | 61.3¢ | 78.5¢ | $1,178 | +$259 | $0 | |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 1,020 | 83¢ | 95.1¢ | $969 | +$123 | $0 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 987 | 89.7¢ | 97¢ | $957 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1,033 | 45.1¢ | 85.5¢ | $883 | +$418 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4,998 | 0.7¢ | 13.9¢ | $695 | +$659 | +$278 | |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 700 | 88.5¢ | 94.2¢ | $659 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 663 | 91¢ | 95.2¢ | $632 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 635 | 90.3¢ | 95.7¢ | $607 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 969 | 53.2¢ | 60.5¢ | $586 | +$71 | $0 | |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 582 | 85¢ | 97.6¢ | $568 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 724 | 73¢ | 77.9¢ | $564 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 583 | 89.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $560 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | No | 600 | 80¢ | 84.5¢ | $507 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 85¢ | 95.5¢ | $478 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8,500 | 0.7¢ | 5.1¢ | $429 | +$368 | +$45 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 17.9k | 1.5¢ | 2¢ | $350 | +$79 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 3.3¢ | $325 | +$253 | $0 | |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 2.3¢ | $225 | +$153 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 200 | 90¢ | 97.5¢ | $195 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20.4k | 1.4¢ | 1¢ | $194 | −$97 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 200 | 84¢ | 97.1¢ | $194 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 1.9¢ | $185 | +$113 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 179 | 97.3¢ | 98.8¢ | $177 | +$2.57 | −$4,714 | |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 1.7¢ | $165 | +$93 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.4¢ | 14.7¢ | $147 | +$143 | +$378 | |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 1.4¢ | $135 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? | No | 144 | 75.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $135 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 441 | 88.5¢ | 28.6¢ | $126 | −$264 | $0 | |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 1.1¢ | $110 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027? | No | 117 | 74.7¢ | 92.5¢ | $109 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 2,343 | 26.1¢ | 4.3¢ | $100 | −$512 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 96 | 78¢ | 95.8¢ | $92 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 2.5¢ | $86 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 2.4¢ | $82 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 143 | 34.8¢ | 55.5¢ | $79 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 130 | 52.4¢ | 54.5¢ | $71 | +$2.79 | $0 | |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | Yes | 220 | 44.3¢ | 30.5¢ | $67 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 530 | 77.6¢ | 12.6¢ | $67 | −$344 | $0 | |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | $65 | −$7.36 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 1.7¢ | $58 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 63 | 76¢ | 91.5¢ | $57 | +$9.69 | $0 | |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | $55 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 55 | 97.5¢ | 95.6¢ | $53 | −$1.10 | −$2,141 | |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,775 | 0.7¢ | 1.4¢ | $51 | +$24 | +$129 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 47 | 76.7¢ | 96.6¢ | $45 | +$9.38 | +$12 | |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | $45 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 26.3k | 1¢ | 0.2¢ | $40 | −$229 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? | No | 39 | 78¢ | 98¢ | $38 | +$7.79 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | Yes | 40 | 25¢ | 95.1¢ | $38 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $35 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31? | No | 30 | 51¢ | 97.9¢ | $29 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,389 | 0.4¢ | 0.9¢ | $29 | +$16 | +$13 | |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 626 | 4.8¢ | 4.5¢ | $28 | −$2.07 | +$5.10 | |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $25 | −$47 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $25 | −$47 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 25 | 74.4¢ | 89.6¢ | $22 | +$3.79 | $0 | |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $19 | +$5.95 | $0 | |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 498 | 19¢ | 3.5¢ | $17 | −$77 | +$49 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? | Yes | 200 | 30¢ | 8.5¢ | $17 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $16 | +$2.45 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $16 | +$2.45 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $15 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $15 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $15 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $15 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $15 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $15 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $15 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $15 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $15 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $15 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $12 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $12 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $12 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $12 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $8.75 | −$4.55 | $0 | |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $8.75 | −$4.55 | $0 | |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $8.75 | −$4.55 | $0 | |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $8.75 | −$4.55 | $0 | |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $8.75 | −$4.55 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $5.25 | −$8.05 | $0 | |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $5.25 | −$8.05 | $0 | |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $5.25 | −$8.05 | $0 | |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $5.25 | −$8.05 | $0 | |
| Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $5.25 | −$8.05 | $0 | |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $5.25 | −$8.05 | $0 | |
| Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $5.25 | −$8.05 | $0 | |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $5.25 | −$8.05 | $0 | |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $5.25 | −$8.05 | $0 | |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $5.25 | −$8.05 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $5.00 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $5.00 | −$67 | $0 | |
