sharpside
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Traders/Rank #734

JJo

0xc40…4675@JJo3999
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$273kvol $43.1M
PnL 30d−$6,065gains $39.1k · losses $13.1k
PnL 7d−$125win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate65.9%adj 65.3% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$202kcash n/a
Positions70 / 1,678open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.1%of equity peak
Account age2.6ylast trade 22d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$279kbelow peak −$462Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 65.9% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d26
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 70

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No50.0k50¢86.9¢$43.4k+$18.4k$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No50.0k50¢80.2¢$40.1k+$15.1k$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No25.0k92.4¢94.5¢$23.6k+$526+$250
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No25.3k84¢83.5¢$21.1k−$121+$4,562
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No25.0k64.6¢63.5¢$15.9k−$275$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No15.0k99.3¢99.8¢$15.0k+$67$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No15.0k90¢90.5¢$13.6k+$75$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50.0k50¢19.9¢$9,925−$15.1k+$4,478
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes9,37082¢87.5¢$8,194+$508$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50.0k50¢13.2¢$6,575−$18.4k+$1,037
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes4,88864¢63.5¢$3,104−$24$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes2,32322¢22.5¢$523+$12+$93
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes2,95117.7¢11.5¢$339−$182$0
Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?No30992.8¢99.1¢$306+$20+$32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No1,55519¢18¢$280−$16$0
Iran leadership change by November 30?Yes3,28810¢6¢$197−$132$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.6k0.8¢0.7¢$108−$17$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.6k0.8¢0.5¢$91−$34$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No1903.2¢6.6¢$12+$6.36$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1294.4¢97.8¢$12+$0.41+$4,744
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.6k0.8¢0.1¢$8.30−$117$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.6k0.8¢0.1¢$8.30−$117$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.6k0.8¢0.1¢$8.30−$117$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.6k0.8¢0.1¢$8.30−$117$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.6k0.8¢0.1¢$8.30−$117$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.6k0.8¢0.1¢$8.30−$117$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.6k0.8¢0.1¢$8.30−$117$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.6k0.8¢0.1¢$8.30−$117$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.6k0.8¢0.1¢$8.30−$117$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,2250.8¢0.1¢$2.11−$30−$63
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7900.8¢0.1¢$0.40−$5.55−$87
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?Yes140k0.2¢0¢$0−$240$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes30.0k22¢0¢$0−$6,604−$0.30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes30.0k22¢0¢$0−$6,604−$0.30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No23.7k2.5¢0¢$0−$601$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes20.0k2¢0¢$0−$400$0
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes9,0090.2¢0¢$0−$18$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes5,1216¢0¢$0−$309−$60
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Yes5,0002.2¢0¢$0−$110$0
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Benoît Saint Denis4,00052.5¢0¢$0−$2,100$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes3,46313.5¢0¢$0−$469$0
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid2,94037¢0¢$0−$1,088+$5.41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No2,2967.5¢0¢$0−$173+$867
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No2,0195.6¢0¢$0−$114−$3.21
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Falcons2,00039¢0¢$0−$780+$40
49ers vs. RaidersRaiders1,38159¢0¢$0−$815+$200
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes91339.5¢0¢$0−$361+$72
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?Yes9000.6¢0¢$0−$5.40$0
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes8000.1¢0¢$0−$0.80$0
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?Yes7500.1¢0¢$0−$0.75$0
NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31?Yes7000.2¢0¢$0−$1.40$0
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Yes7000.1¢0¢$0−$0.70$0
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Yes7000.2¢0¢$0−$1.40$0
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No7000.2¢0¢$0−$1.40$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by July 31, 2026?Yes7000.4¢0¢$0−$2.80$0
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Yes7000.3¢0¢$0−$2.10$0
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?Yes5000.1¢0¢$0−$0.50$0
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?Yes5000.1¢0¢$0−$0.50$0
Will Trump praise Emmanuel Macron by July 31?Yes4180.2¢0¢$0−$0.84$0
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by July 31?Yes2630.6¢0¢$0−$1.58$0
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani by July 31?Yes2360.3¢0¢$0−$0.71$0
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?Yes1290.1¢0¢$0−$0.13$0
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?No1150.2¢0¢$0−$0.23$0
James Comey charges dropped by July 31?Yes1000.2¢0¢$0−$0.20$0
Reckless Ben arrested by July 31?Yes1000.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?Yes950.1¢0¢$0−$0.10$0
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?Yes660.1¢0¢$0−$0.07$0
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFURIA2054¢0¢$0−$11+$219
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes566¢0¢$0−$3.30−$0.04

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.9¢11.9k$11.8k66%69Whale
SELL YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?0.1¢5,000$5.0066%69
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?87¢30.0k$26.1k66%69Whale
SELL NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?88¢10.0k$8,80066%69
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?2.2¢58$1.2966%69
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?2¢48.0k$95066%69
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?2.3¢82$1.8966%69
BUY NoWill Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?99.8¢13.9k$13.9k66%69Whale
BUY YesWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?99¢299$29666%69
BUY NoWill Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?99.9¢13.0k$13.0k66%69Whale
BUY YesWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?96¢208$20066%69
SELL YesWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?41¢20$8.2066%69
BUY YesWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?44¢241$10666%69
BUY YesWill Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?54.3¢176$9666%69
BUY YesWill Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?0.2¢254$0.5166%69
BUY YesWill Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?53¢156$8366%69
BUY YesWill Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?38¢121$4666%69
BUY YesWill Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?0.1¢706$1.0166%69
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?50¢2,577$1,28966%69
BUY YesIran leadership change by November 30?10¢27$2.6766%69