sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,507

BetterFish

0xc41…592d
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+CulturePolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$35.4kvol $3.32M
PnL 30d−$71gains $4,371 · losses $3,934
PnL 7d+$247win rate 7d 71.9%
Win rate79.2%adj 78.0% · 30d 72.7%
Open value$30.7kcash n/a
Positions210 / 4,082open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.7%of equity peak
Account age4.9ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$35.5kbelow peak −$3,360Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

83/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 79.2% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?No7,38782.8¢78.5¢$5,799−$321$0
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?No3,85195.1¢96.6¢$3,719+$57+$3.89
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,50090.2¢90.5¢$2,263+$7.50$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,50088.7¢90.5¢$2,263+$46$0
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?No1,62089.6¢96.4¢$1,561+$110$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 25 million views in week 1?No1,10798.4¢99.9¢$1,106+$17$0
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?No1,50071.7¢72.5¢$1,088+$13$0
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No1,00084.8¢90.4¢$903+$55$0
Blue wave in 2026?Yes93385.4¢84.5¢$788−$8.38$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No74289.4¢93.2¢$691+$28$0
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes74575.9¢90.7¢$676+$111+$55
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No60595.9¢97.7¢$591+$11+$0.14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No60095.7¢94.5¢$567−$7.40$0
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No50096.2¢99.4¢$497+$16+$2.97
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?Yes51763.5¢88.5¢$457+$129+$2.42
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?No48860.5¢90¢$439+$144$0
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?No40897.4¢97.9¢$399+$1.98$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?No36799.6¢100¢$367+$1.25$0
Will Simon peak at Category 3?No34798.7¢99.7¢$346+$3.62$0
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No33392.9¢98.5¢$328+$18+$26
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?No32597.6¢95.7¢$311−$6.34$0
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes30686.3¢91.5¢$280+$16$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No30085¢92.5¢$278+$23$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No33438¢80.5¢$269+$142+$17
Will gas hit $3.80 (Low) by October 31?No29695.6¢87¢$258−$26$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?No25399.2¢99.9¢$253+$1.65$0
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?No23587.6¢98.9¢$233+$27−$50
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No22095.2¢98.8¢$217+$7.81+$7.20
Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?No22391.5¢96.8¢$216+$12$0
Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?No21097.9¢98.7¢$207+$1.72$0
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?No20396.2¢99.1¢$201+$5.78$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?No20085¢96¢$192+$22$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?No37776.4¢48¢$181−$107−$65
Will Simon peak at Category 2?No16999.2¢99.6¢$168+$0.75$0
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?No17272.8¢96.4¢$165+$40$0
Will Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane?No16296.2¢99.6¢$161+$5.44−$1.60
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Yes73121.6¢21.5¢$157−$0.84−$8.37
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 41 million views on day 4?No15099.7¢100¢$150+$0.38$0
Will Simon peak at Category 1 or weaker?No15099.3¢99.6¢$150+$0.45$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No20092¢74.8¢$150−$35$0
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?No14782.7¢96.8¢$142+$21$0
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Yes4,2364.2¢2.8¢$116−$63$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes32324¢29.5¢$95+$18$0
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No10070¢94.1¢$94+$24$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00024¢6.5¢$65−$175−$190
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?Yes12535.4¢52¢$65+$21+$19
Will Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane?No6099¢99.8¢$60+$0.48$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes15026.1¢39.5¢$59+$20$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?No5485.4¢93.9¢$51+$4.63$0
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes22620.7¢22.5¢$51+$4.06+$5.29
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?No17025¢29.5¢$50+$7.65$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 40 million views on day 4?No5099¢100¢$50+$0.47$0
Democratic Senate odds 58-60% on October 16?No5080¢98.9¢$49+$9.43$0
Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?No8043¢60.5¢$48+$14$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?No5592.4¢87.7¢$48−$2.56$0
Will MrBeast hit 143 billion views by October 31?Yes4299.1¢99.6¢$42+$0.19$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes30013¢13.5¢$40+$1.50$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?Yes8034.3¢47.1¢$38+$10$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes30016.5¢10.5¢$32−$18−$1.93
Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026?No3392.9¢95.5¢$31+$0.84$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No20015¢15.5¢$31+$1.00$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?No3099.8¢99.4¢$30−$0.13$0
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Yes2690¢97.7¢$26+$2.02$0
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Yes3417.5¢73.9¢$25+$19$0
Meituan announces a training pause by October 31?No2387¢98.3¢$23+$2.61$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes46242.3¢4.9¢$22−$173−$103
Alibaba announces a training pause by October 31?No2291¢98.5¢$22+$1.66$0
Will the New Orleans Saints win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?U 7.55042¢40.5¢$20−$0.75$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election?No2092.9¢96.4¢$19+$0.70$0
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?No2080¢94¢$19+$2.80$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1436¢11.5¢$16+$7.86$0
Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?Yes4044¢39.5¢$16−$1.80$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No2391.2¢67¢$15−$5.60+$4.69
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?Yes4020¢37¢$15+$6.80$0
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes5034¢29.5¢$15−$2.25$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes10013¢13.5¢$14+$0.50$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes3007.2¢3.4¢$10−$11+$45
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?Yes3141.8¢2.8¢$8.64+$3.07+$0.62
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes4017¢21.5¢$8.60+$1.80$0
House control favorite on November 2?Democratic Party898.3¢99.3¢$7.94+$0.08−$24
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1?No793.1¢100¢$7.39+$0.51$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes25020¢2.5¢$6.13−$44−$35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Yes1153.6¢5.3¢$6.03+$1.88$0
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes13031.2¢4.3¢$5.59−$35$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes2022¢26¢$5.20+$0.80$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?Yes401¢12.3¢$4.90+$4.50$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 45 million or more views on day 4?Yes1001¢4.1¢$4.10+$3.10$0
Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?Kansas485¢86.5¢$3.47+$0.06$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Yes2011¢15¢$3.00+$0.80$0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes470¢70.5¢$2.49+$0.02$0
Mistral announces a training pause by October 31?Yes2012¢7.2¢$1.44−$0.96$0
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?No120¢97.3¢$1.22+$0.97$0
ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31?Yes634¢1.9¢$1.17−$1.36$0
Will Democrats win the Kansas Governor election and Republicans win the Kansas Senate election?Yes4013¢2.6¢$1.02−$4.18$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 30% or more?Yes211¢4¢$0.84+$0.63+$0.43
Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on October 16?Yes312¢23.5¢$0.68+$0.33$0
Baidu announces a training pause by October 31?Yes406¢1.6¢$0.62−$1.78$0
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes65¢9.5¢$0.57+$0.27$0
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 16?Yes394¢1.1¢$0.43−$1.13$0
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 42 and 43 million views on day 4?Yes217¢1.5¢$0.31−$1.19$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 44 and 45 million views on day 4?68.7¢42$2979%83Sharp
BUY YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 43 and 44 million views on day 4?58¢20$1279%83Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 41 and 42 million views on day 4?99.8¢75$7579%83Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?30¢500$15079%83Sharp
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 41 and 42 million views on day 4?0.2¢98$0.2079%83Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 41 million views on day 4?99.7¢50$5079%83Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 41 million views on day 4?99.7¢50$5079%83Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 41 million views on day 4?99.7¢50$5079%83Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 40 million views on day 4?99¢50$5079%83Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get 44.5 million or more views on day 3?99.9¢17$1779%83Sharp
SELL NoWill Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?99.4¢6$5.5879%83Sharp
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 43 and 44.5 million views on day 3?1¢36$0.3679%83Sharp
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 37 million views on day 3?0.1¢20$0.0279%83Sharp
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 37 million views on day 3?1¢31$0.3179%83Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get 44.5 million or more views on day 3?99¢22$2279%83Sharp
BUY NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?99.8¢20$2079%83Sharp
SELL YesRepublican House odds hit 12% by October 31?23¢50$1279%83Sharp
BUY NoDemocratic Senate odds 58-60% on October 16?80¢50$4079%83Sharp
SELL NoWill the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?99.2¢100$9979%83Sharp
SELL NoWill Isaias peak at Category 5?99.9¢20$2079%83Sharp