sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,863

kastetem

0xc42…6f4d
SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,075vol $941k
PnL 30d−$520gains $2.64 · losses $905
PnL 7d+$110win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate42.8%adj 43.2% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$2,445cash n/a
Positions65 / 484open / all-time
Max drawdown−34.4%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$10.6kbelow peak −$5,363Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 42.8% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity66

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 65

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes6,67916¢15.5¢$1,035−$30$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes8,0276¢6.5¢$522+$40+$0.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes12.0k4.4¢4.3¢$510−$18$0
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes1,9525.7¢7.4¢$144+$32$0
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?Yes1,13630¢11¢$125−$216−$10
Will gas hit $3.80 (Low) by October 31?Yes2005¢22.8¢$46+$36$0
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes1,7712.6¢1.5¢$26−$20$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Yes23510¢10.5¢$25+$1.18$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?Yes1589.3¢5.7¢$8.90−$5.78$0
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?No558¢82.5¢$4.13+$1.23$0
Will Niclas Füllkrug be included in Germany's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes11.1k0.2¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes10.6k2.4¢0¢$0−$250−$11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17?No8,8351.3¢0¢$0−$115$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?No5,0001.1¢0¢$0−$55$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes4,53610.3¢0¢$0−$468−$32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?No3,8340.9¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?No3,0001.3¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?No2,50010¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes1,94524.2¢0¢$0−$472+$229
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 8?No1,92710¢0¢$0−$193+$0.73
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?Yes1,7151.9¢0¢$0−$32−$1.41
Spread: England (-2.5)England1,3004¢0¢$0−$52−$2.76
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 7?No1,2152.1¢0¢$0−$26$0
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil TeichmannJil Teichmann1,1401.1¢0¢$0−$13−$0.44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 7?No1,0991.7¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes1,06716.6¢0¢$0−$177$0
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil1,0005¢0¢$0−$50$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes1,00038¢0¢$0−$380$0
Spread: France (-2.5)France1,0005.7¢0¢$0−$57−$3.00
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao FonsecaJoao Fonseca80038.5¢0¢$0−$308−$6.96
Will gas hit (Low) $4.25 by May 31?Yes76617.2¢0¢$0−$132−$28
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Jil TeichmannJil Teichmann75212.9¢0¢$0−$97−$3.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?No60047¢0¢$0−$282+$60
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?No59925¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes50031¢0¢$0−$155+$417
Will gas hit (Low) $4.20 by May 31?Yes4458.5¢0¢$0−$38−$15
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $90 end of July?No4346.9¢0¢$0−$30−$0.15
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No40055¢0¢$0−$220$0
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica PegulaJessica Pegula40025.1¢0¢$0−$100−$4.10
Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs DayAndreeva4004.9¢0¢$0−$20−$0.66
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?Yes39523.3¢0¢$0−$92−$3.19
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes37842.8¢0¢$0−$162−$34
Set 1 Winner: Navone vs CobolliCobolli35018¢0¢$0−$63$0
Spread: England (-2.5)England35017¢0¢$0−$59−$0.26
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicFelix Auger-Aliassime30032.3¢0¢$0−$97−$2.38
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes26918.9¢0¢$0−$51$0
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?No25021.8¢0¢$0−$54$0
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes20022¢0¢$0−$44−$1.25
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio CobolliFelix Auger-Aliassime20025.5¢0¢$0−$51−$1.32
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils20045¢0¢$0−$90−$1.94
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain20026¢0¢$0−$52$0
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain15030¢0¢$0−$45$0
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro TabiloAlejandro Tabilo15030¢0¢$0−$45$0
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaMarta Kostyuk10044¢0¢$0−$44−$0.59
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaCasper Ruud10028¢0¢$0−$28$0
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta KostyukElina Svitolina10039¢0¢$0−$39$0
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana ShnaiderMadison Keys10034¢0¢$0−$34−$0.84
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana ShnaiderAryna Sabalenka10043¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on June 30?Yes993.9¢0¢$0−$3.88−$0.21
Will Mateus Fernandes be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes9049.9¢0¢$0−$45−$0.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yes514.8¢0¢$0−$0.74−$0.05
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?Yes413¢0¢$0−$0.57$0
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes415.4¢0¢$0−$0.62−$4.56
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Yes217.9¢0¢$0−$0.34−$106
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander ZverevRafael Jodar242¢0¢$0−$0.79−$39

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?4.5¢272$1243%56
SELL NoWill ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?72¢5$3.6043%56
SELL YesWill the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?5.6¢158$8.7543%56
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?16¢6,351$1,01643%56
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?15¢183$2743%56
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?4.4¢12.0k$52843%56
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?15¢145$2243%56
BUY YesUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?5.7¢1,952$11243%56
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?10¢235$2443%56
BUY YesWill gas hit $3.80 (Low) by October 31?5¢200$1043%56
SELL YesWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?7¢545$3843%56
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?6¢8,573$51443%56
SELL YesWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?17¢937$15943%56
BUY YesWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?36.2¢937$33943%56
BUYSpread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) AND Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)16.4¢609$10043%56
SELL YesWill Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?2.9¢955$2843%56
SELL YesWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?7.2¢1,338$9743%56
SELL YesWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?13.2¢2,481$32743%56
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 11?1.8¢3,298$6043%56
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 11?1.1¢3,115$3543%56