sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

0xc45…ee23

0xc45…ee23
WR 60+PoliticsOtherCultureCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$487vol $36.8k
PnL 30d−$7.32gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1.78win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.8%adj 58.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$698cash n/a
Positions19 / 35open / all-time
Max drawdown−65.2%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 10mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$530below peak −$305Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

16/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 68.8% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity35

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No26319¢100¢$263+$213$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No13872.3¢100¢$138+$38$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No9388¢77.5¢$72−$9.78$0
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?No6364¢100¢$63+$23$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes6094¢100¢$60+$3.57$0
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?No5994¢96.1¢$56+$1.20$0
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?No4482.6¢100¢$44+$7.57$0
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?Yes7153.6¢4¢$2.80−$35$0
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?Yes19.5k0.2¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes2,6131.8¢0¢$0−$47$0
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes2,0452.2¢0¢$0−$45$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes2,0005¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes1,6423¢0¢$0−$50$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes1,4072.8¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?Yes1,3213.3¢0¢$0−$43$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes1,2254¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??Yes4458.8¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Yes23219¢0¢$0−$44$0
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo8151.8¢0¢$0−$42$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Alan Keating be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?20.5¢435$8969%16
BUY YesWill Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?37¢159$5969%16
BUY YesCostco increases hotdog price before 2027?53.6¢71$3869%16
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?94¢60$5669%16
BUY NoCostco increases hotdog price before 2027?94¢59$5569%16
BUY NoPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?88¢93$8269%16
BUY NoPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?72.3¢138$10069%16
BUY NoTrump enacts a de minimis crypto tax exemption before 2026?98.8¢33$3369%16
BUY NoTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?98.7¢42$4169%16
BUY NoWill monthly inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7% in November?99.9¢44$4469%16
BUY NoWill the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?99.7¢32$3269%16
BUY YesWill the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?1.8¢2,613$4769%16
BUY NoNothing Ever Happens: December51.8¢81$4269%16
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?64¢63$4069%16
BUY NoWill Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?5.7¢1,767$10069%16
BUY NoWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?79¢43$3469%16
BUY NoWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?19¢263$5069%16
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?94.1¢40$3869%16
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?82.6¢44$3669%16
BUY YesKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?4¢1,225$4969%16