sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Martinus-

0xc4c…393d
<7d old<14d old<30d oldOtherWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$114vol $19.0k
PnL 30d+$404gains $394 · losses $136
PnL 7d+$404win rate 7d 54.2%
Win rate54.2%adj 52.3% · 30d 54.2%
Open value$4,184cash n/a
Positions29 / 53open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age6dlast trade 1m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 54.2% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · Noopen+$440Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? · Noclosed+$104Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$99Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026? · Yesclosed+$79Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026? · Yesopen+$57

Worst markets

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · Yesopen−$130Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? · Noopen−$92Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026? · Noopen−$81Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026? · Noopen−$72Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$48

Open positions · 26

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No93035.4¢71.5¢$665+$336+$105
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?No68198.4¢95.7¢$651−$19−$53
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?No68589.2¢83¢$569−$43−$50
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?No49398.9¢96.2¢$474−$13−$16
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?No38080.7¢77.9¢$296−$11+$1.65
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?No30894.4¢90¢$277−$14−$24
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Yes26696.1¢96.7¢$257+$1.56$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?No27586¢88.1¢$242+$5.92+$3.55
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?No22272.4¢72.5¢$161+$0.24$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Yes74425.3¢20¢$149−$40−$2.97
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes18783.2¢78.3¢$147−$9.13−$39
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?Yes4840.8¢10.2¢$49+$46+$11
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?Yes5868.6¢73.5¢$43+$2.85+$3.98
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?Yes5269.3¢79¢$41+$5.07+$0.97
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No3796.3¢97.5¢$36+$0.42$0
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?No2791¢90.8¢$25−$0.04−$81
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026?Yes4694.3¢5.1¢$24+$3.30+$13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?Yes2961.3¢67¢$19+$1.66+$6.27
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026?Yes2171.3¢7.9¢$17+$14+$1.60
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026?Yes3143.2¢3.8¢$12+$2.02+$97
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?No3033¢3.3¢$9.86+$0.76$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?No2132.9¢36¢$7.56+$0.64+$4.30
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?No847.6¢62¢$4.96+$1.16+$7.53
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Yes339.3¢8.5¢$2.81−$0.26−$130
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes2253.6¢1.3¢$2.81−$5.32+$39
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?Yes3347.9¢0.5¢$1.67−$25+$33

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026?99¢10$9.9054%39
BUY NoWill there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?78.7¢10$7.8754%39
SELL YesNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?79¢10$7.9054%39
SELL YesNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?69¢19$1354%39
SELL NoWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?82.7¢19$1654%39
SELL NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?55.7¢19$1154%39
SELL NoWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?94.9¢20$1954%39
SELL NoWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?87.9¢33$2954%39
BUY YesNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?9.2¢33$3.0554%39
SELL YesNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?22¢33$7.2654%39
SELL YesWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026?10.3¢20$2.0654%39
BUY NoWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?97.4¢20$1954%39
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?73¢20$1554%39
SELL NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?69¢20$1454%39
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?33¢20$6.6054%39
SELL NoWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?83.2¢20$1754%39
SELL NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?55.5¢20$1154%39
SELL NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?70¢5$3.5054%39
BUY NoNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?73¢5$3.6554%39
BUY NoWill the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?97.4¢5$4.8754%39