sharpside
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Traders/Rank #419

rdba

0xc4d…8ce8
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCultureSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$485kvol $46.5M
PnL 30d−$1,539gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2,302win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.0%adj 71.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3.68Mcash n/a
Positions83 / 331open / all-time
Max drawdown−45.7%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$509kbelow peak −$6,621Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale81
Adjusted win rateraw 73.0% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 83

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes3.43M50¢62.5¢$2.14M+$429k$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo3.43M50¢37.5¢$1.29M−$429k$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No250k75.7¢84.5¢$211k+$22.1k−$51.3k
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No7,07094.7¢98.4¢$6,953+$258$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No6,33290.9¢86.9¢$5,499−$256$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No6,03993.6¢84.9¢$5,124−$526$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No5,00096¢85¢$4,248−$553−$1,380
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No6,26452.8¢65.5¢$4,103+$793$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No3,37298.7¢99.9¢$3,367+$39$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No2,43597.9¢99.9¢$2,431+$47$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No1,86496¢99.6¢$1,855+$66$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No1,90550¢51.5¢$980+$28+$133
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No87383.9¢92¢$803+$70$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes16.5k2.8¢4.6¢$757+$288$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,19750¢17.8¢$749−$1,349+$7,865
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No70095¢98¢$686+$21$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No49897.9¢98.4¢$490+$2.44$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes22.5k5.3¢2¢$438−$743$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No20195.6¢99.7¢$200+$8.13$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No19794¢97.3¢$192+$6.40$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,95650¢7.4¢$144−$834+$899
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No10096¢97.4¢$97+$1.35$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9177.1¢5.9¢$55−$11$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5234¢7.5¢$39+$18+$479
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,6521¢1.1¢$28+$1.33$0
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes3,5101.1¢0.2¢$5.26−$33$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6952¢0.3¢$1.74−$12$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4632.1¢0.2¢$0.69−$8.93+$26
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes201¢0.2¢$0.03−$0.17$0
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes387k2.4¢0¢$0−$9,090+$995
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes373k2.1¢0¢$0−$7,809+$84
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes370k2¢0¢$0−$7,518+$82
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?Yes370k2¢0¢$0−$7,518+$82
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?Yes370k2¢0¢$0−$7,518+$82
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?Yes370k2¢0¢$0−$7,518+$82
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Yes370k2¢0¢$0−$7,518+$82
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?Yes370k2¢0¢$0−$7,518+$82
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes370k2¢0¢$0−$7,518+$82
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?Yes370k2¢0¢$0−$7,518+$82
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Yes370k2¢0¢$0−$7,518+$82
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes370k2¢0¢$0−$7,518+$82
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes366k2¢0¢$0−$7,436−$0.19
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes365k2¢0¢$0−$7,424+$369
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Yes360k2¢0¢$0−$7,310+$2,979
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?Yes355k2¢0¢$0−$7,218−$144
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes350k2¢0¢$0−$7,116+$7,558
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes350k2¢0¢$0−$7,106+$5,546
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes305k5.4¢0¢$0−$16.6k+$1,810
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes305k5.4¢0¢$0−$16.6k+$1,810
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes305k5.4¢0¢$0−$16.6k+$1,810
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes305k5.4¢0¢$0−$16.6k+$1,810
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes305k5.4¢0¢$0−$16.6k+$1,810
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes305k5.4¢0¢$0−$16.6k+$1,810
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes305k5.4¢0¢$0−$16.6k+$1,810
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes305k5.4¢0¢$0−$16.6k+$1,810
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes305k5.4¢0¢$0−$16.6k+$1,810
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?Yes265k2¢0¢$0−$5,395−$1,574
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes228k5.5¢0¢$0−$12.6k+$350
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?Yes209k2¢0¢$0−$4,244−$2,643
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?Yes207k2¢0¢$0−$4,201−$2,449
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Yes200k2¢0¢$0−$4,071−$2,406
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No115k5.7¢0¢$0−$6,555$0
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?Yes75.0k2¢0¢$0−$1,524−$4,733
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?Yes62.6k2¢0¢$0−$1,272−$5,061
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?Yes41.6k2¢0¢$0−$846−$5,516
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?Yes12.9k6¢0¢$0−$773−$51
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December?Yes10.5k25¢0¢$0−$2,617−$281
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No9,3113.2¢0¢$0−$295+$327
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No4,02235.8¢0¢$0−$1,439$0
Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?No3,78445¢0¢$0−$1,703$0
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes3,5209.4¢0¢$0−$330$0
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in December?Yes3,48448¢0¢$0−$1,672$0
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes3,21926¢0¢$0−$837$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes2,5009¢0¢$0−$225$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No1,94552¢0¢$0−$1,011$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes1,3007¢0¢$0−$91+$819
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes40516.7¢0¢$0−$67$0
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?No25338¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No17041¢0¢$0−$70$0
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXDRX15038¢0¢$0−$57$0
Iowa vs. Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska Cornhuskers11132¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-10-18?Yes10011¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?No6228.1¢0¢$0−$17$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?76¢35.7k$27.1k73%61Whale
BUY YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?99.9¢14.0k$14.0k73%61Whale
BUY YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?99.9¢3.00M$3.00M73%61Whale
BUY YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?99.9¢460k$460k73%61Whale
BUY NoWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?97.5¢49.5k$48.2k73%61Whale
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?98.5¢7,521$7,40873%61
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?6¢12.9k$77373%61
BUY ZverevSet Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jodar (+2.5)99.9¢11$1173%61
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?47¢20.4k$9,58973%61
BUY NoWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?97.8¢40.6k$39.7k73%61Whale
BUY NoStarmer out by May 31, 2026?75.6¢4,676$3,53573%61
SELL YesWill Georgia win Eurovision 2026?0.1¢101k$10173%61
SELL YesWill Armenia win Eurovision 2026?0.1¢209k$20973%61
SELL YesWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?0.1¢115k$11573%61
SELL YesWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?0.1¢6,070$6.0773%61
SELL YesWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?14¢126$1873%61
BUY YesVictor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.50.1¢116k$11673%61
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?99.6¢161k$160k73%61Whale
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?99.6¢211k$210k73%61Whale
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?99¢118k$117k73%61Whale