PnL all-time+$2,575vol $620k
PnL 30d−$69gains $90 · losses $8.30
PnL 7d−$95win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate74.1%adj 72.8% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$4,383cash n/a
Positions8 / 396open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.1%of equity peak
Account age2.6ylast trade 12d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,453below peak −$147Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 74.1% · shrunk toward 50%82
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d60
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1,590 | 74.7¢ | 82.5¢ | $1,312 | +$124 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 980 | 86.2¢ | 86.9¢ | $851 | +$6.67 | +$17 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,000 | 84¢ | 84.5¢ | $845 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 500 | 98.1¢ | 98.7¢ | $494 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 500 | 89¢ | 89.5¢ | $448 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 79.2¢ | 44.6¢ | $223 | −$173 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 350 | 86.1¢ | 56.5¢ | $198 | −$104 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 24 | 53¢ | 58.5¢ | $14 | +$1.31 | $0 |
Recent trades
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