| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 3 | 36¢ | 54.5¢ | $1.37 | +$0.47 | +$4.39 | |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 2 | 24¢ | 71.5¢ | $1.28 | +$0.85 | +$28 | |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 1 | 89¢ | 98.2¢ | $1.15 | +$0.11 | −$22 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 1 | 43.5¢ | 92.2¢ | $1.13 | +$0.60 | −$11 | |
| Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? | Yes | 1 | 12¢ | 78.3¢ | $1.11 | +$0.94 | +$18 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 89¢ | 93.5¢ | $1.05 | +$0.05 | −$205 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat? | No | 1 | 82¢ | 93.3¢ | $1.04 | +$0.12 | −$6.04 | |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | 2 | 46¢ | 55.8¢ | $1.03 | +$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | Yes | 1 | 62.5¢ | 98.9¢ | $1.02 | +$0.38 | −$13 | |
| Will Rutgers have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 1 | 88¢ | 97.6¢ | $1.01 | +$0.10 | −$7.60 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat? | Yes | 1 | 84.1¢ | 95¢ | $1.01 | +$0.12 | −$18 | |
| Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? | No | 1 | 84¢ | 89.4¢ | $0.99 | +$0.06 | −$6.60 | |
| Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | 2 | 62¢ | 61.5¢ | $0.99 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Logan Paul return to the WWE ring before October 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 64¢ | 95.4¢ | $0.98 | +$0.32 | −$2.66 | |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next? | No | 1 | 70¢ | 92.2¢ | $0.97 | +$0.23 | −$9.28 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 1 | 84¢ | 87.5¢ | $0.97 | +$0.04 | −$3.07 | |
| Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? | No | 1 | 74¢ | 94.4¢ | $0.97 | +$0.21 | −$47 | |
| Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 1 | 91¢ | 92.5¢ | $0.96 | +$0.02 | −$234 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 1 | 74¢ | 93.5¢ | $0.96 | +$0.20 | −$62 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 84¢ | 86.5¢ | $0.96 | +$0.03 | −$9.82 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? | Yes | 1 | 88¢ | 95.9¢ | $0.96 | +$0.08 | −$19 | |
| Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? | Yes | 1 | 32¢ | 65¢ | $0.96 | +$0.49 | +$27 | |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 1 | 87¢ | 83.5¢ | $0.95 | −$0.04 | −$15 | |
| Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election? | Yes | 1 | 75¢ | 92.5¢ | $0.93 | +$0.18 | −$11 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat? | Yes | 1 | 88¢ | 92¢ | $0.92 | +$0.04 | −$7.22 | |
| Will the season series between the Chiefs and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 2 | 52¢ | 46¢ | $0.90 | −$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will Czechia be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? | Yes | 1 | 72¢ | 86.5¢ | $0.89 | +$0.15 | −$13 | |
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2? | No | 1 | 89¢ | 88.5¢ | $0.89 | −$0.01 | −$19 | |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? | Yes | 2 | 66.1¢ | 56¢ | $0.88 | −$0.16 | −$23 | |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 1 | 82¢ | 81.5¢ | $0.88 | −$0.01 | −$64 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 1 | 33¢ | 58.5¢ | $0.87 | +$0.38 | +$4.58 | |
| Will Rachel Rohrabacher qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | Yes | 1 | 62¢ | 80¢ | $0.84 | +$0.19 | −$2.27 | |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | No | 1 | 81¢ | 83.5¢ | $0.83 | +$0.03 | −$9.61 | |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1 | 60¢ | 61.5¢ | $0.83 | +$0.02 | −$5.88 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 62¢ | 82.5¢ | $0.83 | +$0.20 | −$5.68 | |
| Will Sebastian Stan be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1 | 70¢ | 82.5¢ | $0.82 | +$0.13 | −$3.60 | |
| Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane? | No | 1 | 82.3¢ | 81.5¢ | $0.82 | −$0.01 | −$25 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 1 | 81¢ | 80¢ | $0.80 | −$0.01 | −$5.89 | |
| Will "XO Tour Llif3" by Lil Uzi Vert be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? | No | 1 | 88¢ | 79¢ | $0.79 | −$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | No | 1 | 86¢ | 77.5¢ | $0.79 | −$0.09 | −$14 | |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | No | 1 | 59.2¢ | 61.2¢ | $0.79 | +$0.03 | −$0.33 | |
| Will Lamar Jackson have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 1 | 64¢ | 75.5¢ | $0.78 | +$0.12 | −$2.66 | |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | Yes | 1 | 59¢ | 77.5¢ | $0.78 | +$0.18 | −$5.77 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 1 | 64¢ | 59.5¢ | $0.76 | −$0.06 | −$129 | |
| Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections? | Yes | 1 | 23¢ | 76.4¢ | $0.76 | +$0.53 | +$11 | |
| Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election? | No | 7 | 0¢ | 10.5¢ | $0.73 | +$0.73 | $0 | |
| Will PEC Zwolle be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie? | No | 1 | 71¢ | 69.5¢ | $0.73 | −$0.02 | −$3.98 | |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 1 | 74¢ | 72.5¢ | $0.73 | −$0.02 | −$34 | |
| Will Tetairoa McMillan have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 1 | 51¢ | 72¢ | $0.72 | +$0.21 | −$0.19 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election by 55%-60%? | No | 1 | 87¢ | 71.5¢ | $0.71 | −$0.15 | −$7.12 | |
| Will Jayden Daniels be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 3.6¢ | $0.71 | −$1.29 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 1 | 64¢ | 65.4¢ | $0.69 | +$0.01 | −$4.78 | |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? | Yes | 1 | 62¢ | 65¢ | $0.68 | +$0.03 | −$2.27 | |
| Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31? | Yes | 1 | 35¢ | 52.5¢ | $0.66 | +$0.22 | +$2.81 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,800,000 and 2,950,000? | No | 1 | 74¢ | 65.5¢ | $0.66 | −$0.09 | −$4.56 | |
| Will Brian Rodríguez (Club América) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Liga MX season? | Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 3.3¢ | $0.65 | −$1.35 | $0 | |
| Will Napoli qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | No | 1 | 58¢ | 62.5¢ | $0.64 | +$0.05 | −$2.00 | |
| Will Brock Bowers have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 2 | 31¢ | 41.5¢ | $0.64 | +$0.16 | +$2.11 | |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | Yes | 2 | 42¢ | 39.5¢ | $0.64 | −$0.04 | +$6.60 | |
| Will Pavel Tůma be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? | Yes | 20 | 26¢ | 3.1¢ | $0.61 | −$4.59 | $0 | |
| Will Davante Adams have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 1 | 39¢ | 55¢ | $0.60 | +$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will A.J. Brown have 724.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 1 | 0¢ | 60.5¢ | $0.60 | +$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026? | No | 1 | 76¢ | 51.5¢ | $0.60 | −$0.28 | −$5.06 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be less than 800,000? | Yes | 20 | 15¢ | 2.9¢ | $0.58 | −$2.42 | $0 | |
| Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election? | Yes | 2 | 44¢ | 32¢ | $0.57 | −$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | Yes | 1 | 20.1¢ | 39.5¢ | $0.57 | +$0.28 | +$14 | |
| Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season? | Yes | 2 | 23¢ | 29.5¢ | $0.53 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will HNK Gorica be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL? | No | 1 | 70¢ | 49¢ | $0.52 | −$0.22 | −$3.79 | |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? | No | 1 | 61¢ | 40.5¢ | $0.49 | −$0.25 | −$9.16 | |
| Will Al-Ittihad be relegated from the 2026-27 Saudi Professional League? | Yes | 15 | 20¢ | 3.3¢ | $0.49 | −$2.51 | +$1.50 | |
| Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 1 | 31¢ | 35.5¢ | $0.49 | +$0.06 | +$14 | |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | Yes | 1 | 16¢ | 45.5¢ | $0.47 | +$0.30 | +$17 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 1 | 67¢ | 44.3¢ | $0.45 | −$0.23 | −$28 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | Yes | 2 | 31¢ | 28.5¢ | $0.45 | −$0.04 | +$25 | |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%? | Yes | 20 | 11¢ | 2.3¢ | $0.45 | −$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | No | 1 | 81.5¢ | 38.5¢ | $0.44 | −$0.49 | −$6.57 | |
| Will Drake Maye have 26.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 1 | 48¢ | 42.5¢ | $0.42 | −$0.06 | −$0.05 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? | No | 2 | 23.4¢ | 26.5¢ | $0.42 | +$0.05 | +$4.00 | |
| Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 1 | 36¢ | 40.5¢ | $0.41 | +$0.05 | −$1.44 | |
| Will Jan Teplý be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? | Yes | 20 | 26¢ | 2¢ | $0.40 | −$4.80 | $0 | |
| Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027? | No | 1 | 21¢ | 31.5¢ | $0.40 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will Trey Hendrickson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks? | Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 1.9¢ | $0.38 | −$1.62 | $0 | |
| Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 1 | 32.1¢ | 24¢ | $0.35 | −$0.12 | +$7.05 | |
| Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 1 | 67¢ | 34.5¢ | $0.34 | −$0.33 | −$3.23 | |
| Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 2 | 24¢ | 18.5¢ | $0.34 | −$0.10 | +$93 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 2 | 10¢ | 17.2¢ | $0.34 | +$0.14 | +$7.21 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat? | No | 10 | 10¢ | 3.4¢ | $0.34 | −$0.67 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1 | 12¢ | 29.5¢ | $0.33 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Hayden Patriquin reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | Yes | 1 | 74¢ | 24.5¢ | $0.33 | −$0.66 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 1 | 18¢ | 25.5¢ | $0.31 | +$0.09 | +$32 | |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 50¢ | 31¢ | $0.31 | −$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election? | No | 1 | 34¢ | 31¢ | $0.31 | −$0.03 | +$1.98 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2 | 14¢ | 19.5¢ | $0.31 | +$0.09 | +$28 | |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 2 | 27¢ | 19¢ | $0.31 | −$0.13 | +$7.16 | |
| Will Wayne Knight be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader? | Yes | 50 | 26¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.30 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | No | 1 | 75¢ | 28.5¢ | $0.28 | −$0.47 | −$82 | |
| Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba have 1,524.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 1 | 62¢ | 28.5¢ | $0.28 | −$0.34 | −$2.50 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 1 | 12¢ | 20.5¢ | $0.28 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 1 | 22¢ | 26.5¢ | $0.27 | +$0.05 | +$1.99 | |
| Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 1 | 37¢ | 26.5¢ | $0.27 | −$0.10 | $0 | |