Traders/Rank #15,221

TP1995

0xc57…38fd

Politics

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$117vol $33.0k

PnL 30d−$2,575gains $5,279 · losses $677

PnL 7d+$19win rate 7d 20.0%

Win rate14.8%adj 29.8% · 30d 19.0%

Open value$796cash n/a

Positions124 / 156open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age31dlast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$100below peak −$94Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

20/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 14.8% · shrunk toward 50%0

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,920 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,920 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yesclosed+$960 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yesclosed+$479 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yesopen+$93

Worst markets

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$80 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$80 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$80 Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yesopen−$80 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yesopen−$80

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	200	98.9¢	100¢	$200	+$2.00	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	22.5¢	$113	+$93	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	19.5¢	$98	+$78	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	100	7.1¢	88.4¢	$88	+$81	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	13.4¢	$67	+$47	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	9.5¢	$48	+$28	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	7.7¢	$39	+$19	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	7¢	$35	+$15	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	5.8¢	$29	+$8.83	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	3.8¢	$19	−$1.17	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	2.8¢	$14	−$5.92	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	2.6¢	$13	−$6.92	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	1.9¢	$9.25	−$11	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	100	7.1¢	9¢	$9.05	+$1.99	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	1.2¢	$6.00	−$14	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	0.6¢	$3.00	−$17	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	0.5¢	$2.75	−$17	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	0.4¢	$2.00	−$18	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	0.3¢	$1.50	−$18	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	100	7.1¢	0.8¢	$0.75	−$6.31	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	100	7.1¢	0.4¢	$0.35	−$6.71	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	0.3¢	0.1¢	$0.25	−$1.25	−$15	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	430	4¢	0.1¢	$0.21	−$17	−$2.67	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	100	7.1¢	0.2¢	$0.15	−$6.91	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	100	7.1¢	0.2¢	$0.15	−$6.91	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	100	7.1¢	0.1¢	$0.05	−$7.01	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$4.00	−$76	ended
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	2,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$80	−$0.01	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	1,000	4¢	0¢	$0	−$40	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	500	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	1d 19h
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	499	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	499	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	499	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	499	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	499	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	499	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	499	4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.2¢	70	$0.14	15%	20
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1¢	106	$1.05	15%	20
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1¢	100	$1.00	15%	20
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1.1¢	100	$1.10	15%	20
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1.1¢	100	$1.10	15%	20
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	6.2¢	100	$6.20	15%	20
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.3¢	100	$0.30	15%	20
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2.5¢	91	$2.28	15%	20
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	14¢	100	$14	15%	20
2d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2.6¢	9	$0.23	15%	20
3d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2¢	100	$2.00	15%	20
3d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.4¢	100	$0.40	15%	20
4d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2.3¢	100	$2.30	15%	20
4d ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	99¢	100	$99	15%	20
4d ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	98.9¢	100	$99	15%	20
4d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.7¢	200	$1.40	15%	20
4d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.8¢	200	$1.60	15%	20
4d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	0.9¢	100	$0.90	15%	20
4d ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	99.6¢	500	$498	15%	20
11d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	0.2¢	2,000	$4.00	15%	20