sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,589

Dr.PNL

0xc60…7fc1@Dr_PNL
Whale1y+PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$452kvol $26.4M
PnL 30d−$167kgains $2,999 · losses $13.3k
PnL 7d−$33.8kwin rate 7d 25.9%
Win rate25.9%adj 26.8% · 30d 25.9%
Open value$101kcash n/a
Positions2,000 / 42,576open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$517kbelow peak −$528kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 25.9% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Atalanta finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?No60082.8¢69¢$414−$83−$146
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?No54078¢70.5¢$381−$41−$54
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 10%-15%?No49877.1¢70.5¢$351−$33−$6.55
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?No45476.7¢76.5¢$347−$1.07−$12
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?No47772¢71.5¢$341−$2.39−$37
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No60070.7¢55.5¢$333−$91−$36
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?No60074¢54.5¢$327−$117−$67
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No45274¢71.5¢$323−$11−$53
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?No40375.5¢78¢$315+$10−$55
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No59577.7¢49.5¢$295−$168−$48
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?No36376.3¢74¢$269−$8.30−$112
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?No34988.9¢77¢$268−$42−$32
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes35778.6¢74.5¢$266−$15−$14
Will Inter Milan reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?No35076¢75.5¢$265−$1.75$0
Scorigami in Week 14 of the 2026-27 NFL season?No36584¢69.5¢$254−$53$0
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Yes31880¢79.5¢$253−$1.59−$167
Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?No35188¢70.5¢$248−$61−$24
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No33276¢74.5¢$247−$4.98−$4.52
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No31977¢75.5¢$241−$4.78−$134
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Yes46482.4¢51.5¢$239−$143−$102
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?No32678.9¢72.5¢$236−$21−$12
Will Xavier Worthy have 249.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No52319¢45¢$235+$136$0
Will Buffalo Sabres advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?No33075¢69.5¢$229−$18−$0.86
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No29173.1¢74.5¢$217+$4.02−$24
Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?No25986.7¢83¢$215−$9.46−$92
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 30%-35%?No26575¢79¢$209+$11−$53
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 30%-35%?No29175¢71.5¢$208−$10−$50
Will Bayer Leverkusen finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?No26591¢75¢$199−$42−$11
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?No32375¢60.5¢$195−$47−$5.23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 30%-35%?No25081.5¢77¢$192−$11−$33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No34155.4¢55.3¢$188−$0.34+$0.60
Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?No28270.8¢64.5¢$182−$18−$27
Will Bayern Munich finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential?No24979.2¢71.5¢$178−$19−$103
Will SMU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes27475¢65¢$178−$27−$18
Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?Yes27570¢64.5¢$177−$15−$55
Will any player break the NFL record for longest field goal in the 2026-27 season?No34874¢50¢$174−$84−$2.20
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Yes43824¢39.3¢$172+$67+$10
Will Amcha Yisrael be in the next Israeli government?No24073¢71.5¢$172−$3.60$0
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No29072.5¢57.5¢$167−$44−$68
Will Utah Mammoth advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?No24675¢67.5¢$166−$18−$1.34
Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?No27572¢59¢$162−$36−$34
Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?No28165.3¢56.5¢$159−$25−$35
Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?No60023¢26.2¢$157+$19$0
Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes24688¢63.5¢$156−$60−$25
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?No24977¢62.5¢$156−$36−$16
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?No25380¢60¢$152−$51−$16
Will Miami FL have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes48223¢31.5¢$152+$41+$5.86
Will Detroit Pistons advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No28871¢52.5¢$151−$53−$13
Will Baylor have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No27777¢49¢$136−$78−$4.61
Will Lecce be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?No24769¢53.5¢$132−$38−$10
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes56122.6¢22.5¢$126−$0.71+$44
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?No28780¢43.5¢$125−$105−$25
Will Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?No59622.2¢18.5¢$110−$22+$74
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?No37329¢28.5¢$106−$1.87−$19
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?Yes56024¢18.5¢$104−$31+$0.98
Will Kylian Mbappé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes59220¢17¢$101−$18−$0.31
Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Yes52738.1¢18.5¢$97−$103−$15
Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?Yes46319.5¢21¢$97+$6.86+$17
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?No54017.2¢17.5¢$95+$1.87+$46
Will Justin Herbert have 3,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No45921.7¢20.5¢$94−$5.29$0
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes60024.6¢15.5¢$93−$54+$142
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?No36424.2¢25.5¢$93+$4.91+$19
Will Michigan State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes25772¢35.5¢$91−$94−$45
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Yes34726.1¢26¢$90−$0.52+$14
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Yes53122.6¢16.5¢$88−$33+$5.47
Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Yes42020.3¢20.7¢$87+$1.84$0
Will Cincinnati (CFB) have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes48823.4¢17.5¢$85−$29+$14
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes60017.2¢14¢$84−$19+$73
Will Brentford qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes35729¢23.5¢$84−$20$0
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI + Anthropic39923.4¢21¢$84−$9.47−$12
Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?No24287.9¢34.5¢$84−$129−$2.92
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes35417.3¢23.5¢$83+$22+$32
Will Indiana have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes41524¢20¢$83−$17−$0.39
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes54820¢15¢$82−$28+$189
Halle Berry as Storm?Yes52921¢15.5¢$82−$29−$3.34
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes60012.2¢13.5¢$81+$7.73+$169
Will Dallas Goedert have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes36522¢22¢$80$0$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No40715¢19.5¢$79+$18+$2.71
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes44020.7¢18¢$79−$12+$0.37
Will Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?No34420¢23¢$79+$10+$0.33
Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?Yes45421.2¢17¢$77−$19−$1.27
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No46423.7¢16.5¢$77−$33+$44
Will Trevor Lawrence have 19.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No34020.5¢22.5¢$76+$6.61−$0.91
Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027?Yes54221.7¢14¢$76−$42+$17
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?No60024.5¢12.3¢$74−$74+$47
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?No58615.6¢12.5¢$73−$18+$33
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes39515¢18.5¢$73+$14+$7.86
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No53921¢13.5¢$73−$40−$5.78
Will Fulham qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?Yes60020¢12¢$72−$48+$20
Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027?No25223¢28.5¢$72+$14+$14
Will Omar Cooper Jr. have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No49423.5¢14.5¢$72−$45+$3.84
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes60012.8¢11.9¢$71−$5.49+$116
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes47419.4¢15¢$71−$21−$1.64
Will Catherine O'Hara rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?Yes36020¢19.5¢$70−$1.80$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No37820¢18.5¢$70−$5.67−$0.34
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?No28525.4¢24.5¢$70−$2.43+$16
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?Yes60023.2¢11.5¢$69−$70+$42
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No60011.1¢11.5¢$69+$2.29$0
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?No60015¢11.5¢$69−$21$0
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?Yes44023.5¢15.5¢$68−$35−$26

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?86¢55$4726%25
SELL NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 3%-6%?86¢25$2126%25
SELL NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 10%-15%?79¢20$1626%25
SELL NoWill the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in October?87¢71$6226%25
SELL NoWill the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?87¢19$1726%25
SELL NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%?83.1¢105$8726%25
SELL NoWill OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?91¢212$19326%25
SELL NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 3%-6%?78.9¢140$11026%25
SELL NoHyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?89.5¢52$4726%25
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 3%-6%?83.5¢19$1626%25
SELL NoWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?90¢129$11626%25
SELL NoWill Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?91¢43$3926%25
SELL NoWill Chaos Labs launch a token by March 31, 2027?91¢27$2526%25
SELL NoWill the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?89.3¢70$6326%25
SELL YesWill the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?89.8¢100$8926%25
SELL NoWill Dinamo Zagreb finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?51¢20$1026%25
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?95.9¢521$50026%25
SELL NoWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?85.4¢25$2126%25
SELL NoWill there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?93¢157$14626%25
SELL YesWill the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?90¢206$18626%25