PnL all-time+$1,507vol $568k
PnL 30d−$38gains $750 · losses $340
PnL 7d+$91win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate62.2%adj 61.2% · 30d 61.9%
Open value$5,078cash n/a
Positions4 / 245open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 15h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$879below peak −$548Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 62.2% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$852Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08? · Yesclosed+$395US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? · Noclosed+$376US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? · Noclosed+$311Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Noclosed+$285
Worst markets
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$1,141US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Noclosed−$911Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$735US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$623LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs · DRXclosed−$500
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 4,080 | 85.8¢ | 83.5¢ | $3,407 | −$94 | +$126 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,410 | 67.2¢ | 48.9¢ | $1,669 | −$623 | $0 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 1 | 98.6¢ | 98.8¢ | $1.00 | $0 | $0 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 96.7¢ | 96.5¢ | $1.00 | $0 | $0 |
Recent trades
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