PnL all-time−$652vol $22.5k
PnL 30d+$972gains $563 · losses $53
PnL 7d+$972win rate 7d 52.9%
Win rate56.0%adj 53.3% · 30d 52.9%
Open value$255cash n/a
Positions9 / 34open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 7h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$648below peak −$785Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.0% · shrunk toward 50%33
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yesclosed+$477Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk? · Yesclosed+$104Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19? · Yesclosed+$45Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? · Noclosed+$33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Downclosed+$25
Worst markets
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 244 | 82¢ | 78.5¢ | $191 | −$8.54 | $0 | |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes | 114 | 66¢ | 56¢ | $64 | −$11 | −$24 | |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 660 | 37¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$244 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 557 | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | −$515 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Yes | 300 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$81 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | Down | 33 | 59.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$2.46 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Down | 29 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.29 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Up | 19 | 53.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.32 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | Down | 8 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.13 |
Recent trades
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