PnL all-time−$749vol $511k
PnL 30d−$3,392gains $5,554 · losses $8,464
PnL 7d+$3,413win rate 7d 90.0%
Win rate91.5%adj 83.3% · 30d 82.1%
Open value$2,776cash n/a
Positions5 / 90open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,776below peak −$4,995Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 91.5% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,052Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his rally in Oklahoma? · Noclosed+$916Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$581Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? · Yesclosed+$436Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas? · Noclosed+$373
Worst markets
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Noclosed−$5,814Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · Noclosed−$1,097US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Noopen−$998US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · Noclosed−$974Trump renames AI by September 30? · Noclosed−$579
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | No | 33.6k | 6.4¢ | 5.6¢ | $1,881 | −$256 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 10.5k | 17¢ | 7.5¢ | $788 | −$998 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | Yes | 108 | 93¢ | 99.5¢ | $107 | +$6.99 | $0 | |
| Trump renames AI by October 31? | No | 1,279 | 23.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$302 | −$19 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | No | 164 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$49 | $0 |
Recent trades
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