sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,408

wannatakemoney

0xc62…74fc
WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,590vol $808k
PnL 30d+$2,694gains $7,422 · losses $1,280
PnL 7d+$6,481win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate69.1%adj 64.8% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$3,770cash n/a
Positions42 / 111open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$389below peak −$3,720Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 69.1% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?No3,30067¢59.5¢$1,963−$247$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes2,66858.1¢57.9¢$1,543−$6.67$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes59843.1¢43.9¢$262+$4.48$0
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?Yes153.2¢5¢$0.73+$0.26$0
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes62.5k1.6¢0¢$0−$1,000−$30
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes22.2k4.5¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20.0k5.2¢0¢$0−$1,040−$30
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Falcons12.4k23.7¢0¢$0−$2,950−$64
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming9,39433¢0¢$0−$3,100−$62
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid8,51935.8¢0¢$0−$3,050−$53
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team6,86438.6¢0¢$0−$2,650$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No6,67015¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageTeam Liquid5,49063.9¢0¢$0−$3,506−$38
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit5,26338¢0¢$0−$2,000−$37
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes5,00015¢0¢$0−$750$0
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageTeam Spirit4,84978.4¢0¢$0−$3,800−$25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid4,54437.4¢0¢$0−$1,700−$28
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageAurora3,92424.5¢0¢$0−$963−$22
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageTundra Esports3,90858.9¢0¢$0−$2,300−$28
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes3,84352¢0¢$0−$2,000+$4,002
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?No3,75917.9¢0¢$0−$674−$7.13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes3,25015¢0¢$0−$487$0
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Yes3,20043.1¢0¢$0−$1,380−$2.48
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageTeam Yandex3,19147¢0¢$0−$1,500−$24
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No3,00030¢0¢$0−$900−$21
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerAurora2,94151¢0¢$0−$1,500$0
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageTeam Liquid2,91741.2¢0¢$0−$1,201−$21
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerAurora2,86517.5¢0¢$0−$500−$12
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StagePARIVISION2,85949.7¢0¢$0−$1,422−$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerAurora2,75954.4¢0¢$0−$1,500−$21
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No2,74136.5¢0¢$0−$1,000−$25
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes2,50040¢0¢$0−$1,000−$24
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBetBoom Team2,5008¢0¢$0−$200−$388
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAurora2,21013.6¢0¢$0−$300$0
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageTeam Yandex1,5001¢0¢$0−$15−$0.45
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Yes1,13549.9¢0¢$0−$566−$2.94
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageGLYPH8885.6¢0¢$0−$50−$1.42
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes60050¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes5708.8¢0¢$0−$50−$1.82
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?No56937¢0¢$0−$211$0
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group StageLGD Gaming48750.2¢0¢$0−$245−$372
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?No8029¢0¢$0−$23$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.9¢14.0k$11.7k69%33Whale
BUY YesWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?8.8¢570$5069%33
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?29¢4,900$1,42169%33
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?60.8¢21$1369%33
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?58.1¢2,668$1,55069%33
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?55¢2,920$1,60669%33
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?50¢496$24869%33
SELL YesWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?8.9¢2,955$26369%33
BUY NoWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?17.8¢1,217$21769%33
SELL YesIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?19¢2,843$54169%33
SELL YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?4.6¢3,333$15269%33
BUY YesIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?51¢2,843$1,45069%33
SELL YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?60.8¢2,439$1,48369%33
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?41.4¢386$16069%33
BUY YesWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?34.3¢1,457$50069%33
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?39.5¢2,533$1,00069%33
SELL NoAnother GTA VI trailer released by August 31?98.3¢1,700$1,67169%33
BUY NoWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?36.5¢2,741$1,00069%33
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?15¢3,333$50069%33
BUY YesWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?34¢150$5169%33