PnL all-time+$29.9kvol $2.40M
PnL 30d+$1,060gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$537win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate67.5%adj 64.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$68.7kcash n/a
Positions2 / 84open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 9mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$7,715below peak −$48.2kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 67.5% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? · Noclosed+$14.2kWill Trump and Harris debate before election? · Yesclosed+$10.5kWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Noclosed+$9,989Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? · Noclosed+$8,434Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed+$7,798
Worst markets
Trump wins every swing state? · Noclosed−$24.5kTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noclosed−$17.4kWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$15.7kWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$6,514Aspinall vs. Gane · Aspinallclosed−$2,101
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 111k | 54.4¢ | 48.6¢ | $53.7k | −$6,514 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 84.1k | 36.5¢ | 17.8¢ | $15.0k | −$15.7k | $0 |
Recent trades
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