PnL all-time−$112vol $6,413
PnL 30d−$81gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$133win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,953cash n/a
Positions14 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,183below peak −$1,509Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
9/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Noopen−$604Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$528Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Noopen−$314Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$115Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$107
Open positions · 14
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,057 | 53¢ | 100¢ | $1,057 | +$497 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,436 | 39¢ | 31¢ | $445 | −$115 | $0 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 114 | 66¢ | 100¢ | $114 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 845 | 71¢ | 8.5¢ | $72 | −$528 | $0 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 91 | 52¢ | 50¢ | $46 | −$1.82 | $0 | |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 78 | 51.6¢ | 50¢ | $39 | −$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | No | 77 | 49¢ | 50¢ | $39 | +$0.77 | $0 | |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | No | 77 | 49¢ | 50¢ | $39 | +$0.77 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 697 | 50¢ | 5¢ | $35 | −$314 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | Yes | 69 | 52¢ | 50¢ | $35 | −$1.38 | $0 | |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | Yes | 49 | 57¢ | 50¢ | $25 | −$3.43 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 450 | 26¢ | 2.3¢ | $10 | −$107 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 1,285 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$604 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | No | 87 | 43¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | 46.9¢ | 20 | $9.37 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY No | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | 50¢ | 692 | $346 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | 26¢ | 43 | $11 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | 39¢ | 1,436 | $560 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | 71¢ | 18 | $13 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 53¢ | 790 | $419 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY No | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 66¢ | 114 | $75 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | 57¢ | 5 | $2.85 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY Yes | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | 52¢ | 69 | $36 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY No | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | 49¢ | 77 | $38 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY No | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | 43¢ | 10 | $4.30 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY No | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | 51.6¢ | 78 | $40 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY No | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | 49¢ | 77 | $38 | 0% | 9 | |||
| BUY No | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | 52¢ | 91 | $47 | 0% | 9 |