sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Blue-Horseshoe

0xc67…f35c
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,310vol $257k
PnL 30d+$1,987gains $1,601 · losses $208
PnL 7d+$524win rate 7d 87.7%
Win rate93.2%adj 91.5% · 30d 93.2%
Open value$8,003cash n/a
Positions359 / 2,522open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.7%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,970below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

83/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 93.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?Yes77059.9¢97.8¢$753+$292+$0.38
Will Rachel peak at Category 3?Yes57561.4¢98.7¢$567+$214+$2.95
Will Nolo peak at Category 4?Yes37072.8¢97.4¢$360+$91+$10
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?No47547¢75¢$356+$133+$12
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Yes40135.1¢80.5¢$323+$182+$13
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes54028.2¢59¢$318+$166+$1.81
Will Isaias peak at Category 3?Yes28780.1¢99.3¢$285+$55−$0.36
Will Simon peak at Category 4?Yes29057.1¢96.9¢$281+$115−$14
Will Mary Knowles win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?No27997.8¢99.1¢$276+$3.69$0
Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Yes57030.5¢48¢$274+$100+$52
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes25086.2¢97.5¢$243+$28$0
Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Yes55028.5¢43.5¢$239+$82$0
Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Yes64941.4¢36.5¢$237−$32+$1.60
Will Harshan Ramadass win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election?Yes30048¢67.5¢$202+$58+$10
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes29848.6¢65.5¢$195+$51$0
Will Wayne Johnston win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?No19395.9¢98.6¢$190+$5.22$0
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes30065.1¢61.8¢$185−$10−$5.65
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes65045.8¢28¢$182−$116−$2.15
Will Kyle Sampson win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Yes50018.9¢33.5¢$167+$73$0
Will Rachel peak at Category 2?No15897.7¢99.2¢$157+$2.32$0
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Yes24048.4¢62¢$149+$33+$2.12
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes20051.4¢73¢$146+$43+$18
Will Koguma peak as a Violent typhoon?No13590.4¢97.8¢$132+$9.86+$1.40
Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?Yes60028.5¢21.5¢$129−$42$0
Will Amos Kipruto win the 2026 Men's Chicago Marathon?Yes11469.6¢99¢$113+$33$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes20053.6¢52¢$104−$3.40$0
Will Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane?No10296.6¢99.8¢$102+$3.25$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Yes10176.8¢88¢$89+$11$0
Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election?Yes20037¢39¢$78+$3.90$0
Will Nolo peak at Category 3?No7692.1¢99.4¢$76+$5.53+$1.11
Will Kyle Hamilton win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election?Yes20642.3¢33.5¢$69−$18−$0.37
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?No7551¢91¢$68+$30+$21
Will Rachel peak at Category 5?No6595.9¢99.2¢$65+$2.10$0
Will Nicole Cherlet win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?No6398.4¢99.3¢$62+$0.53$0
Will Simon peak at Category 5?No5177.6¢96.8¢$49+$9.70$0
Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes16051.7¢30¢$48−$35−$16
Will Kaitlyn Christian reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No5956¢78.5¢$46+$13$0
Will Andrew McCullagh win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?No7763.4¢58¢$45−$4.18$0
Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election?Yes10025¢43¢$43+$18$0
Will Isaias peak at Category 4?No4088.5¢99.9¢$40+$4.54$0
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the highest-scoring WR of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes7516.2¢53¢$40+$28$0
Will Ja'Marr Chase be the highest-scoring WR of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes10020.9¢38¢$38+$17$0
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes10037¢36.5¢$37−$0.50$0
Will Isaias peak at Category 5?No3595.7¢99.5¢$35+$1.32$0
Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Yes2508.5¢11.8¢$30+$8.14$0
Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes5058¢58¢$29$0$0
Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?Yes3072.9¢93.5¢$28+$6.17+$2.26
Kim Kardashian announces passing the Bar Exam by 2027?No2574.7¢93.5¢$23+$4.71+$6.55
Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Yes3551.9¢66¢$23+$4.92−$2.51
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Yes2191¢98.5¢$21+$1.58$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes21027.4¢9.5¢$20−$38$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?Yes2091¢98.5¢$20+$1.50$0
Will Zoey Weil reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?No2097.9¢92¢$18−$1.18$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?Yes5047.7¢36.5¢$18−$5.62−$2.32
Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes4031.5¢43.7¢$17+$4.88$0
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?Yes9114¢18.5¢$17+$4.10$0
Will Puka Nacua be the highest-scoring WR of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes10020¢16.5¢$17−$3.50$0
Will Javier Lamarque Cano win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Yes46816.8¢3.2¢$15−$64$0
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?No6042¢24.5¢$15−$11$0
Will Trey McBride be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes5024¢24¢$12$0$0
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes2122¢47¢$9.87+$5.25$0
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No3550¢23.5¢$8.23−$9.28−$0.36
Will Simon peak at Category 5?Yes25043.2¢3.3¢$8.12−$100−$8.17
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes1016.6¢60.5¢$6.11+$4.43+$0.05
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Yes685¢98.5¢$5.91+$0.81$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?No675¢90¢$5.40+$0.90$0
Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?Yes871.2¢5.4¢$4.69+$3.65$0
Will Bijan Robinson be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes2120¢22¢$4.62+$0.42$0
Will Isaias make landfall in Alabama as a hurricane?Yes10031.7¢4.3¢$4.29−$27−$11
Will Rachel peak at Category 4?Yes29541.6¢1.3¢$3.69−$119+$2.28
Will Digger win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes382.2¢8.6¢$3.30+$2.46$0
Will Josh Allen be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes2115¢15.5¢$3.18+$0.10$0
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes2114¢15.5¢$3.18+$0.31$0
Will Bijan Robinson be the highest-scoring fantasy football player of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes2113¢15.5¢$3.17+$0.50$0
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?Yes422.5¢7.5¢$3.11+$2.07$0
Will Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Yes13022.3¢2.4¢$3.06−$26−$8.30
Will Nolo peak at Category 5?Yes15054.3¢1.6¢$2.40−$79−$65
Will Chris Lynch win the next Burnie mayoral election?Yes317¢7¢$2.18$0$0
Will Lisa Kearns win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?Yes551.9¢3.3¢$1.79+$0.74$0
Will Christian McCaffrey be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes2110¢3.5¢$0.72−$1.33$0
Will Jacob Kiplimo win the 2026 Men's Chicago Marathon?Yes4037¢0.4¢$0.14−$15$0
Will Mack Hollins win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Nick Emmanwori win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes5340.4¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Ernest Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Uchenna Nwosu win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will AJ Barner win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Byron Murphy win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Leonard Williams win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Coby Bryant win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Milton Williams win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Yes40033.1¢0¢$0−$133−$21
Will Robert Mitchell win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?Yes34333.2¢0¢$0−$114+$21
Chicago Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18, 2026?Yes25753.3¢0¢$0−$137−$0.16
Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes2500.4¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will DeMarcus Lawrence win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes2500.4¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will James Webb Eat 46 or more Hotdogs at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026?U <462100.1¢0¢$0−$0.21−$21
Will Vahn Lackey be drafted 2nd overall in the 2026 MLB Draft?Yes20730.4¢0¢$0−$63−$1.79

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Amos Kipruto win the 2026 Men's Chicago Marathon?99¢57$5693%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Amos Kipruto win the 2026 Men's Chicago Marathon?95¢19$1893%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Simon peak at Category 4?95¢20$1993%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?37¢50$1993%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?92¢92$8593%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Koguma peak as a Violent typhoon?92¢100$9293%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane?98¢32$3293%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?37¢50$1993%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?57.7¢31$1893%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?61¢46$2893%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Simon peak at Category 5?31¢25$7.7593%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Simon peak at Category 4?70¢50$3593%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon?0.5¢3$0.0193%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Simon peak at Category 5?15.6¢50$7.8093%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Simon peak at Category 4?49¢25$1293%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Simon peak at Category 4?49¢23$1193%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Simon peak at Category 5?49¢25$1293%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Simon peak at Category 5?53¢25$1393%83Sharp
BUY YesWill Simon peak at Category 5?53¢25$1393%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon?1.2¢5$0.0693%83Sharp