PnL all-time−$64vol $88.1k
PnL 30d+$731gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$891win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 45.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$75.9kcash n/a
Positions4 / 6open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.5%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$39.9kbelow peak −$1,258Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
12/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable26
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · Yesopen−$2,755Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? · Yesopen−$764Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$2.81Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? · Noclosed−$2.00
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 67.4k | 40.9¢ | 95.6¢ | $64.4k | +$36.9k | −$0.87 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 11.7k | 40.7¢ | 97.2¢ | $11.4k | +$6,626 | +$1.89 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 6,987 | 40.4¢ | 1¢ | $70 | −$2,755 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 1,293 | 56.9¢ | 2.5¢ | $32 | −$704 | −$60 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY Yes | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 55.7¢ | 242 | $135 | 0% | 12 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 55.6¢ | 129 | $72 | 0% | 12 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | 53.4¢ | 274 | $146 | 0% | 12 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 57¢ | 415 | $237 | 0% | 12 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 55.6¢ | 767 | $427 | 0% | 12 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | 56.9¢ | 1,493 | $849 | 0% | 12 | |||
| BUY No | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | 41¢ | 10.2k | $4,163 | 0% | 12 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 41¢ | 30.5k | $12.5k | 0% | 12 | Whale | ||
| BUY Yes | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 40.5¢ | 10.8k | $4,370 | 0% | 12 | |||
| BUY No | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | 39.1¢ | 1,605 | $627 | 0% | 12 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | 39.9¢ | 6,714 | $2,679 | 0% | 12 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 39.9¢ | 23.4k | $9,344 | 0% | 12 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 39.9¢ | 1,000 | $399 | 0% | 12 |