PnL all-time−$3,575vol $417k
PnL 30d+$1,455gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$416win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate36.3%adj 39.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$17.6kcash n/a
Positions7 / 87open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3.3ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,888below peak −$539Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 36.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable65
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$5,45850% India tariff in effect by August 27? · Yesclosed+$3,295US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,896Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? · Yesclosed+$2,398Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII? · Yesclosed+$1,011
Worst markets
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yesclosed−$2,446Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$1,739Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31? · Yesopen−$1,522100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? · Yesclosed−$1,327Will the NDA win 376-400 seats? · Yesclosed−$1,300
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.8k | 58.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $17.6k | +$5,458 | $0 | |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 9,057 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$815 | +$10 | |
| Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31? | Yes | 6,672 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 | −$522 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5,091 | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$168 | −$4.87 | |
| Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | 1,501 | 30.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$453 | $0 | |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | 504 | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Chiefs vs. Chargers | Chiefs | 250 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 |
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