PnL all-time−$28vol $9,519
PnL 30d−$259gains $1.51 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate98.1%adj 84.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$264cash n/a
Positions4 / 56open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.2%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 22d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$27below peak −$225Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 98.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable58
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d25
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed+$83Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh for Treasury Secretary? · Noclosed+$42Will Google have the best AI model on October 31? · Yesclosed+$15Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · Yesclosed+$11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$9.94
Worst markets
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026? | No | 142 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $142 | +$1.36 | $0 | |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 121 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $121 | +$1.21 | −$0.05 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 159 | 94.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 153 | 98.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 |
Recent trades
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