sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,612

Polmcb

0xc71…1bb6
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,822vol $48.0k
PnL 30d+$37gains $705 · losses $27
PnL 7d+$57win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate91.8%adj 89.4% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions41 / 381open / all-time
Max drawdown−26.9%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,848below peak −$329Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale47
Adjusted win rateraw 91.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? · Noclosed+$150Dogecoin all time high before 2026? · Noclosed+$129Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$86Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$83Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$82

Worst markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? · Noopen−$147Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · Noopen−$127Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? · Noopen−$92Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? · Noclosed−$74Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$67

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes4202.9¢0¢$0−$12−$0.47
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120,000 on October 31?Yes20012.5¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No16987.2¢0¢$0−$147$0
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No12998.5¢0¢$0−$127−$0.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026?No10020¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 31?Yes10012¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No10092.3¢0¢$0−$92$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?No9273¢0¢$0−$67$0
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 5?Down5269.3¢0¢$0−$36−$16
Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes5183¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?No5145¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?Yes5089¢0¢$0−$45$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes507.8¢0¢$0−$3.90$0
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes5044¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 25?No5082¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?Yes5014¢0¢$0−$7.00$0
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No4791¢0¢$0−$43$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12AM ETUp408¢0¢$0−$3.20$0
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?No3093.9¢0¢$0−$28−$0.12
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?No266.2¢0¢$0−$1.60$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of January 2026?No219¢0¢$0−$1.88$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No2054¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?No2060¢0¢$0−$12$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?No2069¢0¢$0−$14$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETUp2014¢0¢$0−$2.80$0
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?Yes2090¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2060¢0¢$0−$12−$0.14
Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?Yes2081¢0¢$0−$16$0
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?No2024¢0¢$0−$4.80$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31?Yes1931.1¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?No1576¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No1340.8¢0¢$0−$5.35$0
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes1397.9¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 16?No1053¢0¢$0−$5.30$0
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?No1050¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes1076¢0¢$0−$7.60−$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETUp1045¢0¢$0−$4.50$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETUp1040¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?No587.3¢0¢$0−$4.35$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?No273¢0¢$0−$1.44$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?No135¢0¢$0−$0.37$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?95¢7$6.8092%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?89¢10$8.9092%78Sharp
SELL YesWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?42¢50$2192%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?79¢45$3692%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?97.2¢40$3992%78Sharp
SELL NoKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?96¢50$4892%78Sharp
SELL No9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?96.2¢50$4892%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?96.4¢54$5292%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?89¢80$7192%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?87.1¢90$7892%78Sharp
SELL NoLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?88.7¢100$8992%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?95.6¢100$9692%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?97.6¢112$10992%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?92¢150$13892%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?97¢163$15892%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?73¢202$14792%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?96.9¢200$19492%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?98.1¢200$19692%78Sharp
SELL NoWill Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?96.1¢212$20392%78Sharp
SELL NoEthereum all time high by December 31, 2026?93.8¢240$22592%78Sharp