PnL all-time−$16vol $49.3k
PnL 30d−$0.10gains $0.66 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.05win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate13.6%adj 19.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$104cash n/a
Positions4 / 128open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.6%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$16below peak −$16Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 13.6% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? · Noclosed+$5.75Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? · Noclosed+$3.69Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$0.66Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$0.35Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed+$0.21
Worst markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? · Yesopen−$1.28Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series? · Yesclosed−$1.20Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yesclosed−$1.14Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$1.03Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noopen−$0.93
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 104 | 99.8¢ | 99.8¢ | $104 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 465 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.93 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | Yes | 427 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.28 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 22? | Yes | 385 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.77 | $0 |
Recent trades
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