PnL all-time−$171vol $63.0k
PnL 30d+$25gains $2,145 · losses $2,126
PnL 7d+$25win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$666cash n/a
Positions6 / 24open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$165below peak −$194Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable46
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Noclosed+$1,753Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Downclosed+$633Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$542Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? · Downclosed+$375Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noopen+$282
Worst markets
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yesclosed−$1,750Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Upclosed−$633Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$540Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? · Upclosed−$375Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yesopen−$282
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 600 | 50¢ | 97.1¢ | $582 | +$282 | $0 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 42 | 96.6¢ | 96¢ | $41 | −$0.28 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 28 | 85.8¢ | 88.9¢ | $25 | +$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 600 | 50¢ | 2.9¢ | $18 | −$282 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 36 | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 33 | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 |
Recent trades
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