PnL all-time−$127vol $1,813
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$230cash n/a
Positions11 / 11open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
11/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable35
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? · Yesopen−$101Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yesopen−$82Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election? · Yesopen−$35Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%? · Yesopen−$23Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%? · Yesopen−$14
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? | No | 120 | 42.5¢ | 100¢ | $120 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | No | 100 | 31¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat? | Yes | 10 | 66¢ | 100¢ | $10 | +$3.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? | Yes | 220 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101 | $0 | |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | 210 | 39¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82 | $0 | |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%? | Yes | 200 | 17.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | +$12 | |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat? | Yes | 168 | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.78 | +$8.28 | |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%? | Yes | 150 | 9.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election? | Yes | 80 | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election? | Yes | 45 | 32.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | +$8.00 | |
| Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | Yes | 20 | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | 31¢ | 100 | $31 | 0% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? | 57¢ | 30 | $17 | 0% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election? | 47¢ | 30 | $14 | 0% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | 45¢ | 40 | $18 | 0% | 11 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Mark Carney lose his seat? | 5.7¢ | 18 | $1.00 | 0% | 11 |