sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,714

LiquidatedDegen

0xc7e…2d3a@liquidatedxxx
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$81.7kvol $16.7M
PnL 30d+$26.1kgains $45.3k · losses $18.2k
PnL 7d+$6,421win rate 7d 77.1%
Win rate71.1%adj 70.3% · 30d 69.7%
Open value$41.9kcash n/a
Positions2,000 / 4,483open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.2%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$115kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 71.1% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes9,89036.8¢88.9¢$8,797+$5,153+$3,601
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes76.7k4.1¢9.8¢$7,483+$4,327+$1,377
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes11.9k36¢51.7¢$6,170+$1,866−$117
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes21.4k7.7¢23.3¢$4,975+$3,327$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes6,73548.3¢62.5¢$4,209+$958−$278
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes8,12425.4¢23.5¢$1,909−$153$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes6,32129.4¢25.5¢$1,612−$245$0
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes20.8k4.4¢6.1¢$1,269+$352$0
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Yes19.4k2¢6.2¢$1,203+$810+$155
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes112k2.5¢1.1¢$1,178−$1,616$0
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes72918.9¢98.7¢$719+$581$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes3,57121¢18.5¢$661−$89−$173
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes4,43012.9¢12¢$532−$39$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes6,7639.1¢4.5¢$304−$308$0
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes7,7113¢3.1¢$235+$3.86$0
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes26.5k1.1¢0.8¢$199−$82+$68
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes1,91722.7¢7.5¢$144−$292−$167
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes3,26615.7¢2.4¢$77−$435$0
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,1693.5¢2.1¢$25−$16$0
Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes9463.1¢2.6¢$24−$5.65$0
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes4,23550.8¢0.2¢$6.35−$2,144$0
Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Yes2,3066.6¢0.1¢$1.15−$150$0
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes125k0.2¢0¢$0−$250−$7.49
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k0.5¢0¢$0−$500−$170
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes76.2k8¢0¢$0−$6,093$0
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes67.3k2.1¢0¢$0−$1,383+$199
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes58.5k8.5¢0¢$0−$4,983$0
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes32.6k1.6¢0¢$0−$521$0
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No27.2k8¢0¢$0−$2,173$0
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?No23.2k7.2¢0¢$0−$1,664−$2,104
Alabama vs. IndianaAlabama21.1k20.7¢0¢$0−$4,350$0
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Yes20.5k12¢0¢$0−$2,460$0
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes20.1k5¢0¢$0−$1,004$0
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes18.1k2.6¢0¢$0−$469−$21
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?Yes17.8k5.7¢0¢$0−$1,019−$1.51
Will BLɅϽKPIИK release an album by February 28?No16.7k0.3¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?Yes15.7k5.7¢0¢$0−$903−$2,643
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No15.5k25.3¢0¢$0−$3,925−$365
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes14.1k8.6¢0¢$0−$1,208+$2,782
Dodgers vs. Blue JaysBlue Jays13.9k44¢0¢$0−$6,097$0
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes13.6k1.6¢0¢$0−$218$0
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?No12.8k26.4¢0¢$0−$3,392−$475
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?Yes12.0k19.7¢0¢$0−$2,365$0
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes10.8k27.8¢0¢$0−$3,000−$87
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes10,00013¢0¢$0−$1,300$0
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes9,9003.1¢0¢$0−$302−$5,197
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?No9,35121.4¢0¢$0−$2,004$0
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?Yes9,1475.8¢0¢$0−$535$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?No8,76022.5¢0¢$0−$1,969$0
Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?No8,35917.3¢0¢$0−$1,447$0
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes8,3330.3¢0¢$0−$25−$10
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Yes8,3330.6¢0¢$0−$50$0
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Gonzaga BulldogsSaint Mary's Gaels8,08221.7¢0¢$0−$1,750$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 14?No7,98421.5¢0¢$0−$1,719$0
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?No7,95611.5¢0¢$0−$912$0
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech Red Raiders7,95331.4¢0¢$0−$2,500$0
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes7,73714.1¢0¢$0−$1,092$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes7,67923.3¢0¢$0−$1,787$0
Iowa vs. VanderbiltVanderbilt7,00821.4¢0¢$0−$1,500$0
Warriors vs. Trail BlazersWarriors6,89729¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Amanda AnisimovaWang6,07516.5¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No5,9008.9¢0¢$0−$527$0
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?Yes5,7808.7¢0¢$0−$505$0
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?Yes5,6808.4¢0¢$0−$477$0
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Houston CougarsArkansas Razorbacks5,54325.3¢0¢$0−$1,400$0
Golden Knights vs. PanthersGolden Knights5,48036.1¢0¢$0−$1,980$0
Baylor Bears vs. Iowa State CyclonesBaylor Bears5,4489.2¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes5,3714.8¢0¢$0−$258$0
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?Yes5,29927.8¢0¢$0−$1,472$0
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?No5,22526.7¢0¢$0−$1,395+$168
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBaltimore Orioles5,10311.8¢0¢$0−$604$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No5,10233.9¢0¢$0−$1,728−$44
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes5,0602¢0¢$0−$101−$2.98
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Nevada Wolf PackFresno State Bulldogs5,05314.8¢0¢$0−$750$0
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-23?Yes5,00020¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Ravens vs. DolphinsDolphins5,00022¢0¢$0−$1,100$0
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)Hanwha Life Esports5,00019¢0¢$0−$950$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 15?Yes4,99333.5¢0¢$0−$1,670$0
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Stanford CardinalGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets4,86921.6¢0¢$0−$1,050$0
Knicks vs. 76ers76ers4,82535.2¢0¢$0−$1,700$0
Will Girona win on 2025-10-31?Yes4,78724¢0¢$0−$1,149$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4,73942.1¢0¢$0−$1,995+$63
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes4,71731.8¢0¢$0−$1,500$0
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?Yes4,61719.9¢0¢$0−$919−$29
Rockets vs. PacersPacers4,45021.3¢0¢$0−$950$0
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes4,43823.2¢0¢$0−$1,028$0
South Dakota State vs. NorthwesternSouth Dakota State4,38914.5¢0¢$0−$637−$27
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksDetroit Tigers4,38712.5¢0¢$0−$548$0
Wild vs. LightningWild4,31922¢0¢$0−$950$0
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes4,3139.6¢0¢$0−$414$0
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?Yes4,25536.5¢0¢$0−$1,555$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No4,1785.7¢0¢$0−$239$0
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina State WolfpackVirginia Tech Hokies4,16718¢0¢$0−$750$0
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?Yes4,13434.7¢0¢$0−$1,435$0
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes4,1312.3¢0¢$0−$94−$2.74
Flyers vs. IslandersIslanders4,01917.4¢0¢$0−$700$0
Will Real Sociedad vs. Sevilla end in a draw?Yes4,00515¢0¢$0−$601$0
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2025-10-23?Yes4,00225¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?Yes4,00030¢0¢$0−$1,200$0
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-24?Yes3,95625¢0¢$0−$989$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Utah StateWashington State vs. Utah State19¢1,579$30071%72Sharp
BUY OverMaple Leafs vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.554¢556$30071%72Sharp
BUY LibertySpread: Liberty (-13.5)51¢588$30071%72Sharp
SELL YesWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?2.6¢3,108$8171%72Sharp
BUY AvalancheAvalanche vs. Jets37¢270$10071%72Sharp
BUY San Diego PadresMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres55¢636$35071%72Sharp
BUY KingsPanthers vs. Kings49¢612$30071%72Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?12¢4,063$48871%72Sharp
BUY YesUS strike on Colombia by December 31?24.8¢1,059$26271%72Sharp
BUY Atlanta BravesLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves51¢588$30071%72Sharp
BUY WildWild vs. Sabres52¢577$30071%72Sharp
BUY SenatorsSenators vs. Red Wings50¢600$30071%72Sharp
BUY Tampa Bay RaysNew York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays51¢588$30071%72Sharp
BUY FalconsFalcons vs. Saints49¢714$35071%72Sharp
BUY BruinsSenators vs. Bruins48¢313$15071%72Sharp
BUY SharksSharks vs. Stars35¢429$15071%72Sharp
BUY FalconsFalcons vs. Saints48¢729$35071%72Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?14.4¢6,923$1,00071%72Sharp
SELL PanthersPanthers vs. Ducks35.8¢370$13371%72Sharp
BUY LionsLions vs. Panthers20¢500$10071%72Sharp