| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 1,187 | 88¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,087 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 1,010 | 77.2¢ | 95.5¢ | $965 | +$184 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,050 | 62.2¢ | 87.1¢ | $914 | +$261 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 809 | 78.9¢ | 95.9¢ | $776 | +$138 | −$0.58 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 670 | 83.5¢ | 96¢ | $643 | +$83 | +$1.84 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 709 | 87.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $642 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 605 | 72.3¢ | 98.1¢ | $593 | +$156 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 589 | 83.3¢ | 96.8¢ | $570 | +$79 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 708 | 62.4¢ | 74.5¢ | $527 | +$85 | +$21 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 800 | 55¢ | 61.5¢ | $492 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 440 | 69¢ | 93.5¢ | $411 | +$108 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 466 | 61.1¢ | 85.5¢ | $399 | +$114 | −$6.42 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 85.6¢ | 87.5¢ | $350 | +$7.61 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 663 | 50.6¢ | 52.5¢ | $348 | +$13 | +$2.94 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 353 | 90¢ | 92.5¢ | $327 | +$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 412 | 67.2¢ | 78.5¢ | $323 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 380 | 61¢ | 83.5¢ | $318 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 407 | 57.8¢ | 75.5¢ | $307 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 300 | 84.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $287 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 302 | 85.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $282 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 290 | 84.3¢ | 95¢ | $276 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 284 | 83.1¢ | 95.5¢ | $271 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 369 | 73.1¢ | 71.5¢ | $264 | −$5.92 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 515 | 43.3¢ | 48.4¢ | $250 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 250 | 82¢ | 95.8¢ | $239 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 300 | 82¢ | 78¢ | $234 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 225 | 87¢ | 95.5¢ | $215 | +$19 | +$3.75 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 300 | 67.8¢ | 69.5¢ | $209 | +$5.01 | $0 | |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 200 | 85¢ | 99.3¢ | $199 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? | No | 200 | 91¢ | 98.7¢ | $197 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 91.7¢ | 97.8¢ | $196 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 200 | 93¢ | 96.5¢ | $193 | +$6.90 | $0 | |
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Yes | 221 | 80.5¢ | 86.9¢ | $192 | +$14 | $0 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 190 | 84¢ | 96.7¢ | $184 | +$24 | −$3.57 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 255 | 49.4¢ | 68.5¢ | $175 | +$49 | −$4.19 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 200 | 76¢ | 85.5¢ | $171 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | No | 200 | 68¢ | 85¢ | $170 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 170 | 91.1¢ | 99.2¢ | $169 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 200 | 75¢ | 82.5¢ | $165 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | 396 | 27.2¢ | 41.5¢ | $164 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Yes | 349 | 41¢ | 46.5¢ | $162 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 160 | 86.4¢ | 95.5¢ | $153 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? | No | 150 | 86¢ | 96.3¢ | $144 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 74.2¢ | 71.5¢ | $143 | −$5.50 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 150 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $142 | +$2.25 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? | No | 150 | 91¢ | 94.5¢ | $142 | +$5.25 | −$0.33 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 315 | 51.2¢ | 45.1¢ | $142 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? | No | 203 | 66.3¢ | 69.5¢ | $141 | +$6.44 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? | No | 150 | 91¢ | 92.5¢ | $139 | +$2.25 | −$0.33 | |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | Yes | 154 | 86.2¢ | 88.8¢ | $137 | +$3.96 | $0 | |
| Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 150 | 82.3¢ | 90.6¢ | $136 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31? | No | 150 | 90.3¢ | 89.5¢ | $134 | −$1.32 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 81¢ | 66.5¢ | $133 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | No | 150 | 91¢ | 88.5¢ | $133 | −$3.75 | −$0.84 | |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | No | 170 | 75¢ | 74.5¢ | $127 | −$0.85 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 141 | 71¢ | 88.5¢ | $125 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 150 | 78.7¢ | 79.5¢ | $119 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 153 | 77.5¢ | 75.5¢ | $116 | −$3.13 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 120 | 89¢ | 93.5¢ | $112 | +$5.40 | $0 | |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | No | 115 | 86.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $109 | +$8.78 | $0 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 120 | 74¢ | 89.8¢ | $108 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 150 | 65¢ | 70.5¢ | $106 | +$8.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 119 | 84¢ | 87.5¢ | $104 | +$4.17 | $0 | |
| Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 130 | 87.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $103 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? | Avengers: Doomsday | 106 | 81¢ | 97.1¢ | $103 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | Yes | 200 | 70.6¢ | 50.9¢ | $102 | −$39 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 96.6¢ | 99.3¢ | $99 | +$2.65 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 90¢ | 97¢ | $97 | +$6.95 | $0 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? | No | 100 | 84¢ | 96.5¢ | $97 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 100 | 92¢ | 96.3¢ | $96 | +$4.25 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 536 | 18.5¢ | 17.8¢ | $95 | −$3.99 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 100 | 84.9¢ | 93.9¢ | $94 | +$8.95 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 96¢ | 93.6¢ | $94 | −$2.40 | $0 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? | No | 100 | 74¢ | 91.5¢ | $91 | +$17 | $0 | |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? | No change | 102 | 75¢ | 87.5¢ | $89 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | No | 100 | 85¢ | 87.5¢ | $88 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 86¢ | 85.5¢ | $86 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 140 | 59.6¢ | 60.5¢ | $85 | +$1.20 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100 | 85¢ | 81.5¢ | $82 | −$3.50 | −$2.20 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | 84¢ | 79.5¢ | $80 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 150 | 78.7¢ | 53¢ | $79 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 100 | 64¢ | 78¢ | $78 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | 100 | 66¢ | 76¢ | $76 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 473 | 15.7¢ | 16.1¢ | $76 | +$1.85 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 96 | 64.1¢ | 77.5¢ | $74 | +$13 | $0 | |
| SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? | SpaceX | 100 | 93.1¢ | 71.5¢ | $72 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 70 | 96¢ | 98¢ | $69 | +$1.36 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? | No | 70 | 87¢ | 97.8¢ | $68 | +$7.56 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 104 | 48¢ | 60.5¢ | $63 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 150 | 56¢ | 38.5¢ | $58 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 220 | 20¢ | 22.8¢ | $50 | +$6.05 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | Yes | 70 | 53¢ | 70.5¢ | $49 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 50 | 92¢ | 91.5¢ | $46 | −$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 50 | 87¢ | 89.5¢ | $45 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 70 | 87¢ | 63¢ | $44 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 138 | 71.2¢ | 31¢ | $43 | −$55 | $0 | |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 70 | 65¢ | 61¢ | $43 | −$2.80 | $0 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 200 | 23.5¢ | 20.5¢ | $41 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 158 | 34.9¢ | 25.5¢ | $40 | −$15 | −$4.55 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 50 | 84¢ | 69.5¢ | $35 | −$7.25 | $0 | |