sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,974

moon-k58-lad

0xc80…4117
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$152kvol $3.89M
PnL 30d−$90.9kgains $29.0k · losses $14.7k
PnL 7d−$9,050win rate 7d 84.3%
Win rate81.8%adj 80.5% · 30d 81.8%
Open value$4,762cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 14,214open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.6%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 3m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$121kbelow peak −$120kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 81.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Counter-Strike: Elite Klan vs Royal Foxes Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group CRoyal Foxes Esports1,05355.2¢50.5¢$532−$50$0
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1,98850¢15.5¢$308−$686$0
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion PlayoffsCupid Esports80830¢28.5¢$230−$12$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes3,8658.1¢2.6¢$99−$213$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes1,20733.4¢7.5¢$91−$312$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes74628.1¢6¢$45−$165$0
Human moon landing in 2026?Yes2,5436.9¢1.7¢$42−$133$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes75.2k0.3¢0.1¢$38−$183$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,3870¢2.6¢$35+$35$0
OKX IPO in 2026?Yes57542.1¢5¢$29−$213$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,4070¢1.2¢$16+$16$0
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,4070¢0.4¢$4.92+$4.92$0
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,4070¢0.3¢$3.52+$3.52$0
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,4070¢0.2¢$2.11+$2.11$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,3870¢0.2¢$2.08+$2.08$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,3870¢0.2¢$2.08+$2.08$0
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,3870.8¢0.2¢$2.08−$8.62$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,3870¢0.2¢$2.08+$2.08$0
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,3870.8¢0.2¢$2.08−$8.62$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,3870¢0.2¢$2.08+$2.08$0
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2,0482.1¢0.1¢$1.02−$41$0
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,3870¢0.1¢$0.69+$0.69$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,3870¢0.1¢$0.69+$0.69$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,3870¢0.1¢$0.69+$0.69$0
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes100k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will d4vd be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes27.6k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or higher on November 10?No23.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes19.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes19.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes18.6k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes18.6k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes18.4k25.2¢0¢$0−$4,619−$154
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes17.6k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes17.5k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes17.4k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina15.8k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?No10.9k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes10.9k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes10.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes10.5k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes10.0k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes9,8850¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes9,5800¢0¢$0$0$0
Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.8–1.9 million views on week 1?Yes9,5660¢0¢$0$0$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes9,4660¢0¢$0$0$0
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?Yes8,3490¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?Yes8,2640¢0¢$0$0$0
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsYes8,2500¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes8,2300¢0¢$0$0$0
Will 'Death Stranding 2: On the Beach' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes7,4210¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes7,0480¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?Yes6,8890¢0¢$0$0$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?Down6,8880¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes6,8250¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?Yes6,7170¢0¢$0$0$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp6,5920¢0¢$0$0$0
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over6,43141.4¢0¢$0−$2,662−$39
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?Yes6,3630¢0¢$0$0$0
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?Yes6,3480¢0¢$0$0$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?Down6,3250¢0¢$0$0$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown6,18810.7¢0¢$0−$661−$20
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?No6,1450¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No6,0210¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-06-06?Yes5,9460¢0¢$0$0$0
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No5,8050¢0¢$0$0$0
Türkiye leading at halftime?Yes5,7500¢0¢$0$0$0
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Over5,6390¢0¢$0$0$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp5,6040¢0¢$0$0$0
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsYes5,5280¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?Yes5,5120¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes5,4900¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1440.00 and 1459.99 at the end of January 2026?No5,4140¢0¢$0$0$0
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?Yes5,3310¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes5,3280¢0¢$0$0$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETUp5,29140.5¢0¢$0−$2,140−$87
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp5,2740¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes5,1970¢0¢$0$0$0
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes5,1410¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes4,9890¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Yes4,9730¢0¢$0$0$0
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?Up4,9460¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?No4,9200¢0¢$0$0$0
Ethereum Up or Down on June 28?Up4,9120¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes4,8800¢0¢$0$0$0
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Yes4,8540¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?Yes4,6960¢0¢$0$0$0
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Colombia?Yes4,6440¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?Yes4,6090¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Bob Geldof win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes4,5980¢0¢$0$0$0
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?Yes4,5570¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Micheal Martin win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes4,5180¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Barry Andrews win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes4,5180¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes4,5180¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes4,5180¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes4,5180¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes4,5180¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes4,5180¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Bertie Ahern win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes4,5180¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Jarlath Burns win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes4,5180¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Cynthia Ní Mhurchú win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes4,5180¢0¢$0$0$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET28¢893$25082%42
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?34¢40$1482%42
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET68.5¢966$66282%42
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down - October 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET83¢694$57682%42
BUY UnderTSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV: 2nd Half O/U 0.517¢9$1.5382%42
BUY UnderTSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV: 2nd Half O/U 0.518¢10$1.8082%42
BUY Cupid EsportsLoL: Cupid Esports vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs30¢808$24282%42
BUY UnderTSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV: 2nd Half O/U 0.518¢10$1.8082%42
BUY 6666Counter-Strike: Bebop vs 6666 (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group C56.3¢104$5982%42
BUY HUNENGOverwatch: Solus Victorem vs HUNENG (BO5) - OCS China Stage 3 Group Stage18¢15$2.7082%42
BUY ThunderThunder vs. Hawks40.1¢40$1682%42
BUY EAC ExtraCounter-Strike: VP.Future 3 vs EAC Extra (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group D65.2¢64$4282%42
BUY EAC ExtraCounter-Strike: VP.Future 3 vs EAC Extra (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group D65.2¢80$5282%42
BUY EAC ExtraCounter-Strike: VP.Future 3 vs EAC Extra (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group D65¢24$1682%42
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET16¢155$2582%42
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET77.4¢638$49482%42
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET88.2¢800$70682%42
BUY CelestialCounter-Strike: Imperial vs Celestial (BO1) - FRAG University Group C1¢150$1.5082%42
BUY KZGCounter-Strike: Ground Zero vs KZG (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group A9.5¢20$1.9082%42
BUY KZGCounter-Strike: Ground Zero vs KZG (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group A23¢38$8.7582%42