sharpside
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Traders/Rank #546

BrightStars

0xc84…e0c5
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$373kvol $27.7M
PnL 30d−$4,558gains $3,256 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,555win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate79.0%adj 77.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$763kcash n/a
Positions59 / 335open / all-time
Max drawdown−51.3%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$359kbelow peak −$378kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale80
Adjusted win rateraw 79.0% · shrunk toward 50%93
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity49

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 59

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No712k50¢80.2¢$571k+$215k$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes712k50¢19.9¢$141k−$215k$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No29.1k94.6¢99¢$28.8k+$1,266+$477
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes110k12.2¢10¢$11.0k−$2,437+$0.35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes25.6k22.8¢20.5¢$5,258−$590$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes28.3k9.9¢9.5¢$2,690−$102$0
US recession by end of 2026?No2,42492¢93.5¢$2,267+$36$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes28.5k5¢1.7¢$470−$950$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?Yes2,4136¢6.5¢$157+$12$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No2957.4¢89.5¢$26+$9.23$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes1.17M8.5¢0¢$0−$99.0k−$16.1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes724k3.1¢0¢$0−$22.6k−$5,869
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes292k7.8¢0¢$0−$22.8k−$37.0k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes240k4.6¢0¢$0−$11.0k$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes195k4.1¢0¢$0−$7,982−$20.5k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes180k11.2¢0¢$0−$20.3k−$303
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes178k8.1¢0¢$0−$14.4k$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes177k12.2¢0¢$0−$21.6k−$5,299
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes147k7.3¢0¢$0−$10.7k−$1,372
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes140k11¢0¢$0−$15.4k−$55.9k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes132k3.3¢0¢$0−$4,339$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes132k6.8¢0¢$0−$8,886−$11.0k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Yes131k8.2¢0¢$0−$10.7k−$0.05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes112k25.1¢0¢$0−$28.2k−$10.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes90.0k6.6¢0¢$0−$5,909−$21.7k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes86.2k12.1¢0¢$0−$10.5k−$4,163
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Yes76.7k1.1¢0¢$0−$815$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes74.4k28.7¢0¢$0−$21.4k−$12.6k
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes69.6k9.3¢0¢$0−$6,499$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes62.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$74$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes61.3k13¢0¢$0−$7,967+$4,929
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes61.0k27.5¢0¢$0−$16.8k−$1,127
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes49.4k18.5¢0¢$0−$9,114+$6,447
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes49.3k7.4¢0¢$0−$3,641−$40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No46.1k9.5¢0¢$0−$4,374−$20.7k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes43.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$243−$4,440
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes36.3k0.9¢0¢$0−$315$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes34.2k5.5¢0¢$0−$1,872$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No32.4k6.7¢0¢$0−$2,171−$1,922
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes17.0k3.1¢0¢$0−$529$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes11.7k2.6¢0¢$0−$307$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes8,5004.4¢0¢$0−$376$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes7,7772.6¢0¢$0−$202$0
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?Yes7,70830.3¢0¢$0−$2,337−$359
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes7,70615.7¢0¢$0−$1,214+$0.48
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?No7,0000.2¢0¢$0−$16$0
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes6,55816¢0¢$0−$1,049$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?Yes5,0001.3¢0¢$0−$65$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes2,6735.6¢0¢$0−$149$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes2,4324.4¢0¢$0−$107$0
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?Yes1,70815.7¢0¢$0−$267$0
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes76330.2¢0¢$0−$230$0
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes7291.3¢0¢$0−$9.66−$2,205
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes6718.9¢0¢$0−$60+$2,318
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes60717.6¢0¢$0−$107$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes19729.6¢0¢$0−$58−$1,054
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes2022¢0¢$0−$4.40$0
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes526¢0¢$0−$1.30$0
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes359¢0¢$0−$1.86$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?9¢24$2.1979%73Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?14.3¢22.2k$3,17579%73Sharp
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?3.1¢5,555$17279%73Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?13¢3,333$43379%73Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?23¢5,555$1,27879%73Sharp
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?13¢42$5.5179%73Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?14¢5,000$70079%73Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?14¢5,555$77879%73Sharp
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?11¢8,888$97879%73Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?24¢10.4k$2,50179%73Sharp
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?23¢1,895$43679%73Sharp
BUY YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?2.8¢5,005$14079%73Sharp
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?0.7¢77.8k$54479%73Sharp
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?0.7¢100k$70079%73Sharp
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?0.7¢50.0k$35079%73Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?95.9¢13.0k$12.5k79%73WhaleSharp
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?92¢2,424$2,23079%73Sharp
SELL YesIsrael closes its airspace by September 30?79.1¢1,575$1,24679%73Sharp
SELL YesIsrael closes its airspace by September 30?59¢763$45079%73Sharp
BUY YesIsrael closes its airspace by September 30?66¢3,241$2,13979%73Sharp