sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

aschenbrenner

0xc8b…8436
WR 60+SportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$77vol $1,971
PnL 30d+$171gains $164 · losses $38
PnL 7d+$134win rate 7d 78.9%
Win rate65.5%adj 62.5% · 30d 82.8%
Open value$411cash n/a
Positions50 / 134open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale27
Adjusted win rateraw 65.5% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?No13253.5¢94.8¢$125+$55$0
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?No9779.4¢73¢$71−$6.16$0
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes6034.7¢95.5¢$57+$37$0
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?Yes2580¢97.3¢$25+$4.38$0
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No5032¢40.1¢$20+$4.03$0
Will "Gladiator II" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No2077¢98¢$20+$4.20$0
Will "The Cat in the Hat" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes2050¢93.5¢$19+$8.70$0
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes2050¢91¢$18+$8.20$0
Will "The Cat in the Hat" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes2068¢82.5¢$17+$2.90$0
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No2075¢78.5¢$16+$0.70$0
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 7?Yes1033¢92.5¢$9.25+$5.95$0
Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes567¢92.5¢$4.63+$1.27$0
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes577¢84.5¢$4.22+$0.38$0
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7?Yes17030¢1.8¢$2.98−$48$0
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No3527.2¢4.5¢$1.58−$7.97$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill "Gladiator II" be the top US Netflix movie this week?77¢20$1566%62
BUY NoWill "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?32¢50$1666%62
BUY NoWill JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.4M in September?79.4¢97$7766%62
BUY NoWill the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?75¢20$1566%62
BUY YesWill "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week?67¢5$3.3566%62
BUY NoWill "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?26¢20$5.2066%62
BUY YesWill "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?25¢20$5.0066%62
BUY NoWill "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?56¢5$2.8566%62
BUY YesWill "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?30¢20$6.0066%62
BUY NoWill "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?23¢5$1.1566%62
BUY YesWill "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?49¢20$9.8066%62
BUY UpS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?83¢5$4.1566%62
BUY UpS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?63¢5$3.1566%62
BUY NoWill Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?90.6¢5$4.5366%62
BUY NoWill Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?90.6¢5$4.5366%62
BUY NoWill Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?90.6¢5$4.5366%62
BUY NoWill Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?90.6¢5$4.5366%62
BUY NoWill Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?90.6¢5$4.5366%62
BUY NoWill Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?90.6¢5$4.5366%62
BUY NoWill Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?90.6¢5$4.5366%62