sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #718

0xc8b…b836

0xc8b…b836
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$281kvol $4.75M
PnL 30d+$33.9kgains $29.2k · losses $32.4k
PnL 7d+$10.0kwin rate 7d 47.8%
Win rate63.3%adj 62.8% · 30d 46.8%
Open value$297kcash n/a
Positions100 / 600open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.2%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$336kbelow peak −$692Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 63.3% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes40.0k35.9¢57.9¢$23.2k+$8,803$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes27.8k63.3¢62.5¢$17.4k−$215+$159
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No16.0k85.3¢96.7¢$15.4k+$1,816$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No17.5k77¢81.5¢$14.2k+$787+$1,270
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes23.5k65.2¢57.5¢$13.5k−$1,805$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No33.0k30.8¢38.5¢$12.7k+$2,551$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No20.0k46.2¢62.5¢$12.5k+$3,268$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes9,66585¢96.7¢$9,346+$1,131$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes10.8k71.7¢86¢$9,319+$1,548$0
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No9,07981.2¢89.5¢$8,126+$751$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes7,30587.1¢88¢$6,429+$68$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes15.5k30¢38.5¢$5,966+$1,317$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?No5,93287.9¢95.7¢$5,677+$459$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes5,19787.2¢97.6¢$5,069+$538$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?No5,66284.7¢87.8¢$4,968+$173$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?Yes5,49383.7¢85.5¢$4,696+$99$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?Yes4,85287.1¢96.1¢$4,660+$437$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?Yes4,69888.1¢95.7¢$4,494+$354$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?Yes6,75169.3¢65.5¢$4,422−$255$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Yes7,95640¢54¢$4,296+$1,114$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?Yes4,42487.1¢95.4¢$4,218+$366$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?No4,78784.1¢87.5¢$4,189+$162$0
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?No4,26688.2¢97.3¢$4,151+$389$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-05 House seat?No4,11588.1¢98.2¢$4,039+$415$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?No4,00789.7¢98.7¢$3,953+$360+$112
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?Yes3,89387.5¢96.3¢$3,747+$343$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?Yes3,82781.7¢95.8¢$3,667+$539$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?No3,69889.6¢96.3¢$3,559+$247$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?Yes3,78588.3¢92.4¢$3,495+$152$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?Yes3,95283.8¢87.3¢$3,450+$138$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Yes3,2570¢91.5¢$2,980+$2,980$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?Yes3,13488¢94.1¢$2,947+$190$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes3,25381.4¢89.5¢$2,912+$264$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?Yes2,97888.4¢97.3¢$2,898+$266$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?Yes2,95988.8¢97.6¢$2,888+$259$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat?No2,87887.8¢94.4¢$2,715+$188$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Yes2,96077.3¢91.5¢$2,708+$422$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes4,42561.6¢56.5¢$2,500−$224$0
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes3,26278.5¢75.5¢$2,463−$96$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat?No2,47387.9¢96.9¢$2,395+$220$0
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes3,39769.5¢69.5¢$2,361+$0.18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?No2,47278.1¢93.5¢$2,311+$379$0
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?No7,46529¢30.5¢$2,277+$111$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?No4,04439¢54¢$2,184+$607$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?No2,28188.3¢95.5¢$2,178+$163$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Yes2,30486.5¢92.5¢$2,131+$137$0
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Yes2,19387.9¢96.6¢$2,118+$190$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?Yes2,19587.6¢89.5¢$1,964+$42$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?No3,09362¢58.5¢$1,809−$107$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?No1,8480¢93.4¢$1,725+$1,725$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes1,95655.3¢81.5¢$1,595+$514$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?Yes1,74080.6¢85.5¢$1,488+$85$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes1,75376¢81.5¢$1,428+$96$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No2,39960.4¢57.5¢$1,380−$70$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?Yes1,71153.3¢70.5¢$1,206+$295$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?No1,27988¢90.5¢$1,157+$32$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Yes1,18778.3¢90.5¢$1,074+$145$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?No1,38553.7¢74¢$1,025+$281$0
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?Yes1,23179¢80.5¢$991+$18$0
Will Mikuláš Bobák win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?No1,11283.9¢86.3¢$959+$26$0
Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?No1,49235.3¢61.5¢$917+$391$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?No99587.6¢89.5¢$891+$19$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?No1,00584¢85.5¢$859+$15$0
Will Ondrej Lunter win the 2026 Banská Bystrica Region gubernatorial election?Yes83781.2¢95.4¢$798+$118$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?No1,14768.4¢66.5¢$763−$22$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election?Yes87179.2¢86.5¢$754+$63$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Yes1,05850¢60.5¢$640+$112$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No72767¢87.5¢$636+$149$0
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?No3,78441.7¢16¢$605−$974−$268
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?No68071.9¢87.5¢$595+$106$0
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?Yes71363¢72.5¢$517+$68$0
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes55078.5¢93.6¢$515+$83$0
Will Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Yes79746.9¢61.5¢$490+$117$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Yes32090¢99.7¢$319+$31$0
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No39078.7¢77.5¢$303−$4.66$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Yes30090.7¢92.9¢$279+$6.50$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes24292¢97.6¢$236+$14$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?Yes15493¢99¢$153+$9.18$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?Yes14091¢96.2¢$135+$7.28$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?No13387.5¢99.5¢$132+$16$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?No14070¢69.5¢$97−$0.70$0
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes26323.8¢30.5¢$80+$18$0
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes14042¢46¢$65+$5.62$0
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes8560¢70.5¢$60+$8.90$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes20125¢26.5¢$53+$3.02$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?No8650.6¢59.5¢$51+$7.66$0
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?No6168¢78.5¢$48+$6.36$0
Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Yes5072¢77.8¢$39+$2.88$0
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Yes5510¢38¢$21+$15$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?No1706¢9¢$15+$5.11$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?No1355¢83.5¢$11+$3.71$0
Will the Democrats win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?Yes1281¢83.5¢$10+$0.30$0
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2724¢27¢$7.31+$0.81$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?No883¢90¢$7.04+$0.55$0
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Yes846¢7.5¢$6.29+$1.26$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?Yes1057¢5.7¢$5.93−$1.42$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?No653¢81.5¢$5.18+$1.81$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Yes1812¢26.5¢$4.87+$2.67$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes1427¢27.5¢$3.83+$0.07$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?Yes436.5¢8.6¢$3.72+$0.91$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Diana Javorčíková win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?46.9¢797$37363%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?68.4¢1,147$78563%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?67.2¢1,064$71563%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?65¢25.0k$16.3k63%79WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?33¢15.6k$5,13363%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?23.8¢205$4963%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?90.7¢300$27263%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?20.8¢673$14063%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?93¢154$14363%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?91¢140$12763%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?87.5¢133$11663%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?90¢320$28863%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?92¢242$22363%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?79¢350$27763%79Sharp
SELL NoWill the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?99.8¢1,145$1,14363%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?83.5¢516$43163%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?82.4¢286$23663%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?80.5¢629$50763%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?90.6¢530$48063%79Sharp
SELL YesWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0.2¢19.6k$3463%79Sharp