sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

tywed

0xc8e…6fb0
1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$7,222vol $1.21M
PnL 30d−$684gains $138 · losses $722
PnL 7d−$37win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate59.9%adj 59.5% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$9,910cash n/a
Positions41 / 1,024open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$5,254below peak −$10.5kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 59.9% · shrunk toward 50%49
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Solana Up or Down - December 8, 12PM ET · Upclosed+$6,907Ravens vs. Steelers · Steelersclosed+$5,542Solana Up or Down - December 9, 12AM ET · Downclosed+$3,833Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,963Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? · Noclosed+$2,768

Worst markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Upclosed−$4,340Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Downopen−$3,080Colts vs. Seahawks · Seahawksclosed−$2,792Solana Up or Down - December 8, 9AM ET · Upclosed−$2,582Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Downopen−$2,489

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No1,88888.9¢98.1¢$1,851+$174$0
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No2,26469.2¢81.5¢$1,845+$279+$43
US military draft authorized in 2026?No1,33582.7¢96.5¢$1,288+$185$0
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No1,00068¢86.5¢$865+$185$0
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?No61891.2¢97.6¢$603+$40$0
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic60064¢92¢$552+$168$0
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No60069¢84¢$504+$90$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes50087.2¢96¢$480+$44$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No40040¢88.5¢$354+$194$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No30087¢97.4¢$292+$31$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No28247¢94.5¢$267+$134$0
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?No23088¢95.5¢$220+$17$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes38164¢48.5¢$185−$59$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No20031¢89.5¢$179+$117$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes30038.6¢52¢$156+$40$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No10077¢95.5¢$96+$19$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes20048¢36.5¢$73−$23$0
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?No6141¢98.7¢$60+$35$0
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No3267¢86.5¢$28+$6.20$0
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No967¢89.5¢$8.03+$2.02$0
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?Yes2714¢11.5¢$3.12−$0.68$0
Social Security insolvent by December 31, 2027?No156¢90¢$1.16+$0.44$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes60016¢0.1¢$0.60−$95$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown7,50043¢0¢$0−$3,225+$145
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETDown5,27139.7¢0¢$0−$2,095−$394
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown4,00943.7¢0¢$0−$1,751−$5.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETDown3,99029.4¢0¢$0−$1,174−$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETUp3,60335.5¢0¢$0−$1,279−$2.47
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No2,52136¢0¢$0−$907$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown1,80032.2¢0¢$0−$579−$27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No1,02483.7¢0¢$0−$857$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No80067¢0¢$0−$536$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No52055.4¢0¢$0−$288+$183
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETDown47043¢0¢$0−$202−$8.07
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?Yes44073.3¢0¢$0−$322$0
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No30033¢0¢$0−$99$0
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No29042.9¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No6882.6¢0¢$0−$56$0
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?Yes5020.3¢0¢$0−$10$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown4567.5¢0¢$0−$31+$27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No1754.5¢0¢$0−$9.54$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?54¢2,594$1,40160%27
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?88¢300$26460%27
BUY NoWill a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?88¢230$20260%27
SELL NoWill Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?98.8¢39$3960%27
SELL NoWill Trump praise Allah again by June 30?77¢25$1960%27
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET43¢470$20260%27
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET34.2¢460$15760%27
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET31.5¢1,340$42160%27
SELL DownBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET75¢38$2960%27
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET67.5¢520$35160%27
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET71.4¢263$18860%27
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET38¢891$33960%27
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET27¢650$17660%27
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET47.6¢547$26060%27
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET45.7¢1,292$59160%27
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET53¢103$5560%27
BUY UpSolana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET16¢47$7.5560%27
BUY UpSolana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET19¢41$7.7560%27
BUY UpSolana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET22¢6$1.3260%27
BUY UpEthereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET95¢149$14260%27