sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,891

0xC91b7D9F4464C9985f5621493829ahdfc

0xc91…93bd
PnL 10k+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$11.5kvol $1.04M
PnL 30d+$1,660gains $5,116 · losses $2,129
PnL 7d−$41win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate57.4%adj 57.0% · 30d 65.0%
Open value$20.8kcash n/a
Positions135 / 439open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.2%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$12.4kbelow peak −$390Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 57.4% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No5,43060.2¢84.5¢$4,588+$1,317+$406
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Yes8,12546.2¢56¢$4,550+$799+$48
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes8,13651.4¢40.5¢$3,295−$888−$41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,98684.6¢82.5¢$1,638−$42+$190
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes2,30768.1¢66.5¢$1,534−$38−$460
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No1,63272¢86.5¢$1,411+$237+$439
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes6,08936.9¢22¢$1,340−$908−$114
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes2,39027.8¢29.5¢$705+$41+$513
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No50077¢95.5¢$478+$93$0
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes50459.4¢77¢$388+$89−$213
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No1,88016.5¢19.5¢$367+$56−$9.42
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No1,76725.2¢12.5¢$221−$224−$315
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?No7682¢83¢$63+$0.76$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic5680¢95.5¢$53+$8.65$0
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No3897.4¢93.2¢$35−$1.58+$0.41
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No3152¢85.5¢$27+$10+$637
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes50023¢4.5¢$23−$93$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No2969.2¢65.5¢$19−$1.07+$81
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes2132¢43¢$9.03+$2.31+$77
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes3644¢20.5¢$7.44−$8.51−$431
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Yes2066¢35.5¢$7.10−$6.10$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes15522.7¢2.7¢$4.10−$31$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,0520.8¢0.4¢$3.68−$4.73$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?84¢29$2457%68
BUY YesWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?21¢45$9.4657%68
BUY YesWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?21¢42$8.8057%68
SELL NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?84¢80$6757%68
SELL NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?84¢54$4557%68
SELL NoWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?84¢101$8557%68
BUY YesWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?54¢20$1157%68
BUY YesWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?54¢52$2857%68
BUY YesWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?66¢52$3457%68
BUY YesWill no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?29¢103$3057%68
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?44.7¢200$8957%68
BUY YesWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?52¢204$10657%68
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?44¢205$9057%68
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?44¢140$6257%68
BUY YesWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?54¢67$3657%68
BUY YesWill no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?52¢137$7157%68
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?44¢68$3057%68
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?43.3¢208$9057%68
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?43¢27$1157%68
BUY YesNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?43¢51$2257%68