Traders/Rank #13,363

IamUnderTheWater

0xc92…3493

PoliticsCryptoCulture

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$134vol $150k

PnL 30d−$645gains $1,467 · losses $811

PnL 7d−$201win rate 7d 52.6%

Win rate37.0%adj 37.5% · 30d 50.6%

Open value$874cash n/a

Positions148 / 764open / all-time

Max drawdown−79.1%of equity peak

Account age8molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$144below peak −$404Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 37.0% · shrunk toward 50%0

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity21

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yesclosed+$296 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yesopen+$237 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yesclosed+$234 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? · Yesclosed+$214 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yesclosed+$184

Worst markets

West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies · Indiaclosed−$294 Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants · Lucknow Super Giantsclosed−$238 Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4? · Yesclosed−$174 Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 68 million views on day 3? · Yesclosed−$79 Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? · Yesclosed−$75

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	454	99.1¢	99¢	$450	−$0.46	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	318	14.9¢	89.6¢	$285	+$237	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	358	11.9¢	8.3¢	$30	−$13	$0	ended
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	32	63.1¢	87.5¢	$28	+$7.72	$0	ended
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	29	70¢	75.5¢	$22	+$1.57	$0	21d 4h
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	34	58¢	61.5¢	$21	+$1.21	$0	4mo
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	75	46.7¢	19.5¢	$15	−$20	$0	15d 4h
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	16	63¢	63.5¢	$10	+$0.08	$0	21d 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	22	23¢	23.5¢	$5.11	+$0.11	$0	2d 4h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	20	25¢	23¢	$4.60	−$0.40	$0	2d 4h
Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	15	34.3¢	18.6¢	$2.70	−$2.30	$0	2d 4h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	20	25¢	9.5¢	$1.90	−$3.10	$0	2d 4h
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	12.4¢	0.1¢	$0.15	−$37	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	12.4¢	0.1¢	$0.15	−$37	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	12.4¢	0.1¢	$0.15	−$37	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	1,237	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$26	−$0.90	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	−$0.05	ended
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	Yes	539	1.9¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	−$0.49	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	500	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	−$0.05	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	422	-0.1¢	0¢	$0	+$0.61	−$15	ended
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?	Yes	355	2.3¢	0¢	$0	−$8.00	−$0.38	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	304	0¢	0¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	300	5.5¢	0¢	$0	−$17	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	Yes	294	3¢	0¢	$0	−$8.80	−$0.35	ended
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	263	10.9¢	0¢	$0	−$29	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	263	10.9¢	0¢	$0	−$29	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	263	10.9¢	0¢	$0	−$29	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	263	10.9¢	0¢	$0	−$29	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	263	10.9¢	0¢	$0	−$29	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	263	10.9¢	0¢	$0	−$29	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	263	10.9¢	0¢	$0	−$29	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	216	12.5¢	0¢	$0	−$27	−$1.09	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	207	10.8¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$0.04	ended
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	207	10.8¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$0.04	ended
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	207	10.8¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$0.04	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	207	10.8¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$0.04	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	207	10.8¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$0.04	ended
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	207	10.8¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$0.04	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	200	11.1¢	0¢	$0	−$22	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	200	11.1¢	0¢	$0	−$22	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	200	11.1¢	0¢	$0	−$22	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	200	11.1¢	0¢	$0	−$22	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	200	11.1¢	0¢	$0	−$22	$0	ended
Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	195	4.6¢	0¢	$0	−$9.00	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?	Down	189	12.7¢	0¢	$0	−$24	−$1.19	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	Yes	155	1.9¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	144	9.7¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.49	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	Yes	129	6.2¢	0¢	$0	−$8.00	−$0.37	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	113	20.3¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$0.89	ended
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 26?	No	111	0.9¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	−$0.07	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	109	0.9¢	0¢	$0	−$1.00	−$0.05	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	Yes	108	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	Yes	103	11.6¢	0¢	$0	−$12	−$0.53	ended
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	Sunrisers Hyderabad	100	35.4¢	0¢	$0	−$35	−$0.62	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	Yes	95	14.8¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.52	ended
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	91	2.2¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.10	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	87	28.7¢	0¢	$0	−$25	−$0.80	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 27?	No	87	2.3¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	85	38.8¢	0¢	$0	−$33	−$0.99	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27?	Yes	84	2.4¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	81	2.5¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$0.14	ended
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 26?	Yes	75	4¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.20	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	71	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$2.00	−$12	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	71	7¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	−$0.23	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	71	42.5¢	0¢	$0	−$30	−$0.82	ended
ODI Series England vs India: England vs India	India	68	22¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$0.58	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	65	40.7¢	0¢	$0	−$27	+$16	ended
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	65	6.2¢	0¢	$0	−$4.00	−$11	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 4?	Yes	59	5.1¢	0¢	$0	−$3.00	−$0.20	ended
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	58	23.3¢	0¢	$0	−$14	+$11	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	53	9.4¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	−$0.31	ended
Ethereum Up or Down on October 9?	Down	50	10¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	−$0.32	ended
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 10?	Yes	50	10¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	−$0.32	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
3h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	99.9¢	325	$324	37%	34
4h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.4¢	325	$1.40	37%	34
6h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	0.1¢	402	$0.40	37%	34
6h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	99.4¢	402	$400	37%	34
9h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	24¢	33	$7.92	37%	34
9h ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	73.7¢	7	$5.00	37%	34
9h ago	SELL No	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	99.9¢	454	$454	37%	34
11h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	99.1¢	454	$450	37%	34
12h ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	9.4¢	21	$2.00	37%	34
12h ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	23¢	22	$5.00	37%	34
14h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3.4¢	371	$13	37%	34
15h ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	9.1¢	33	$3.00	37%	34
16h ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	69.9¢	14	$10	37%	34
16h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.1¢	304	$0.30	37%	34
16h ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	0.3¢	304	$0.91	37%	34
16h ago	BUY No	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	98.8¢	304	$300	37%	34
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	25¢	20	$5.00	37%	34
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	25¢	20	$5.00	37%	34
1d ago	SELL Yes	Will the match end in a draw?	10.6¢	102	$11	37%	34
1d ago	BUY Yes	Will the match end in a draw?	34.3¢	15	$5.00	37%	34