sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,388

zve3da

0xc94…33a1
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,164vol $219k
PnL 30d−$618gains $488 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$95win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate97.1%adj 80.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$34.2kcash n/a
Positions17 / 52open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 8d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,372below peak −$1,659Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 97.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d71
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? · Noclosed+$2,122Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,954Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Noclosed+$1,340Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Noopen+$1,235Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? · Noclosed+$963

Worst markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Noopen−$5,000Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yesopen−$1,000Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$940Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · Noclosed−$789Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · Noopen−$500

Open positions · 17

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No19.9k85.3¢91.5¢$18.2k+$1,235$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No7,84189.3¢96.7¢$7,583+$583$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No3,23992.6¢97.5¢$3,156+$156$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No1,10090.9¢97.2¢$1,069+$69$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No1,16386¢91.5¢$1,064+$64$0
Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?No1,01798.3¢100¢$1,017+$17$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No1,04096.1¢97.7¢$1,017+$17$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No1,06494¢95¢$1,010+$10$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes2,59638.5¢2.3¢$60−$940$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No5,49591¢0¢$0−$5,000$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes2,70337¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
US strikes Iraq by March 7?No68729.1¢0¢$0−$200$0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No67674¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No60882.2¢0¢$0−$500$0
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?Yes40124.9¢0¢$0−$100$0
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry8025¢0¢$0−$20−$0.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?Yes2441.7¢0¢$0−$10.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?96.1¢1,040$1,00097%40
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?91.4¢3,282$3,00097%40
BUY NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?96¢1,042$1,00097%40
BUY NoRussia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?98.3¢1,017$1,00097%40
BUY NoWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?97.4¢1,026$1,00097%40
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?94¢1,064$1,00097%40
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?86¢1,163$1,00097%40
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?89¢5,618$5,00097%40
SELL YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?74¢2,479$1,83597%40
SELL NoWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?77.9¢661$51597%40
SELL NoWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?97.1¢8,350$8,11297%40
BUY NoWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?75.6¢661$50097%40
BUY NoWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?95.9¢5,216$5,00097%40
BUY NoWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?95.7¢1,045$1,00097%40
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?69¢725$50097%40
BUY NoWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?95.7¢1,045$1,00097%40
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?90.3¢1,107$1,00097%40
BUY NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?95¢1,053$1,00097%40
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?89.8¢3,342$3,00097%40
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?94¢2,128$2,00097%40