PnL all-time+$13.3kvol $12.6M
PnL 30d−$136kgains $164k · losses $420k
PnL 7d+$17.2kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate70.0%adj 69.2% · 30d 34.3%
Open value$118kcash n/a
Positions12 / 649open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 5d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$9,477below peak −$449kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 70.0% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d83
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 108k | 50¢ | 65.5¢ | $70.9k | +$16.8k | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 108k | 50¢ | 34.5¢ | $37.3k | −$16.8k | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 3,737 | 54.4¢ | 89¢ | $3,326 | +$1,295 | +$183 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 7,334 | 30.3¢ | 36.5¢ | $2,677 | +$457 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? | No | 2,292 | 86.9¢ | 93¢ | $2,132 | +$140 | +$191 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2,054 | 41.5¢ | 43.5¢ | $893 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 1,926 | 43.5¢ | 12.8¢ | $247 | −$590 | −$0.79 | |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | No | 257 | 49.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $220 | +$92 | $0 | |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | No | 38.0k | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.9k | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 7,478 | 16.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,249 | $0 | |
| Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28? | No | 6,118 | 75¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,588 | −$57 | |
| Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? | Yes | 2,410 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$313 | −$14 |
Recent trades
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