Traders/Rank #8,230

villa20

0xc97…fbb0

<30d oldPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time$0vol $26.6k

PnL 30d+$728gains $0 · losses $0

PnL 7d+$433win rate 7d 0.0%

Win rate0.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%

Open value$2,147cash n/a

Positions64 / 65open / all-time

Max drawdown0%of equity peak

Account age15dlast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

23/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%25

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d87

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? · Yesopen+$192 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%? · Yesopen+$82 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more? · Yesopen+$38 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat? · Yesopen+$38 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? · Yesopen+$37

Worst markets

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 12% or more? · Yesopen−$33 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%? · Yesopen−$28 Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen−$28 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yesopen−$25 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 25% or more? · Yesopen−$15

Open positions · 60

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	Yes	1,748	13.5¢	24.5¢	$428	+$192	$0	2mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	1,000	12.6¢	15.7¢	$157	+$31	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?	Yes	500	17¢	24.5¢	$122	+$37	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	1,642	1.4¢	6.4¢	$104	+$82	$0	3d 8h
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,600	6.4¢	5.9¢	$94	−$8.00	$0	24mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more?	Yes	1,628	2.2¢	4.6¢	$74	+$38	$0	3d 8h
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	430	10¢	17.1¢	$73	+$30	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	539	5.6¢	12.6¢	$68	+$37	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	200	20¢	32.5¢	$65	+$25	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	300	9¢	17.4¢	$52	+$25	$0	3d 8h
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	1,123	4.1¢	4.4¢	$49	+$3.37	$0	14mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 25% or more?	Yes	226	11.2¢	20.5¢	$46	+$21	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	1,265	2.4¢	3.6¢	$45	+$14	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	1,000	7¢	4.2¢	$42	−$28	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 18%-21%?	Yes	500	7¢	8.4¢	$42	+$6.75	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	300	14.1¢	13.7¢	$41	−$1.20	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 15%-18%?	Yes	300	10.5¢	13.6¢	$41	+$9.15	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	350	5.2¢	11.3¢	$40	+$21	$0	3d 8h
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	200	15¢	19¢	$38	+$8.00	$0	14mo
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	500	13¢	7.5¢	$38	−$28	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	400	9¢	9¢	$36	$0	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	300	14¢	12¢	$36	−$6.00	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more?	Yes	203	7.2¢	17¢	$34	+$20	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 12% or more?	Yes	300	20¢	9¢	$27	−$33	$0	3d 8h
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	923	2¢	2.9¢	$27	+$8.31	$0	14mo
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,000	2.8¢	2.5¢	$25	−$3.50	$0	24mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	Yes	500	3.2¢	4.2¢	$21	+$5.00	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 18%-21%?	Yes	285	2¢	6.8¢	$19	+$14	$0	3d 8h
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	500	5¢	3.8¢	$19	−$6.00	$0	14mo
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	700	3¢	2.7¢	$19	−$2.45	$0	24mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	215	5.1¢	7.8¢	$17	+$5.69	$0	3d 8h
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	1,000	3¢	1.6¢	$16	−$14	$0	14mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	200	13.1¢	7.6¢	$15	−$11	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	600	6.5¢	2.4¢	$14	−$25	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	100	12¢	14¢	$14	+$2.00	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	39	18.2¢	34.6¢	$14	+$6.44	$0	3d 8h
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	364	3¢	3.6¢	$13	+$2.00	$0	14mo
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	499	0.7¢	2.6¢	$13	+$9.23	$0	14mo
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?	Yes	72	9.8¢	16¢	$11	+$4.43	$0	3d 8h
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	500	3.5¢	2¢	$9.75	−$7.75	$0	14mo
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	500	2¢	1.9¢	$9.25	−$0.75	$0	24mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 25% or more?	Yes	300	8.1¢	2.9¢	$8.85	−$15	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 21% or more?	Yes	161	2.2¢	5.2¢	$8.35	+$4.82	$0	3d 8h
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	235	2¢	3.3¢	$7.75	+$3.06	$0	14mo
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	158	2.3¢	4.4¢	$6.86	+$3.23	$0	14mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	168	3¢	3.6¢	$6.05	+$1.01	$0	3d 8h
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	283	1¢	1.8¢	$5.09	+$2.26	$0	14mo
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	180	2¢	2.5¢	$4.42	+$0.81	$0	14mo
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%?	Yes	93	2.8¢	4.4¢	$4.09	+$1.49	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 25% or more?	Yes	48	3.6¢	7.5¢	$3.58	+$1.85	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	20	8.8¢	17.7¢	$3.53	+$1.77	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	Yes	89	2.2¢	3.9¢	$3.47	+$1.51	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	42	3¢	7.5¢	$3.14	+$1.88	$0	3d 8h
Will Laura Loomer be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	99	0.6¢	2.9¢	$2.92	+$2.33	$0	14mo
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	61	0.9¢	3.5¢	$2.12	+$1.58	$0	3d 8h
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	10	15¢	20.5¢	$2.05	+$0.55	$0	3d 8h
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	64	1.1¢	2.1¢	$1.31	+$0.61	$0	14mo
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	103	1¢	1.2¢	$1.24	+$0.21	$0	14mo
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	33	2.2¢	3.6¢	$1.17	+$0.45	$0	14mo
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	5	11.2¢	20.8¢	$1.07	+$0.49	$0	3d 8h

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
4d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	14¢	300	$42	0%	23
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3¢	700	$21	0%	23
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2.8¢	1,000	$28	0%	23
10d ago	BUY Yes	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	14¢	548	$77	0%	23
11d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	2.7¢	77	$2.07	0%	23
11d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more?	7.2¢	5	$0.36	0%	23
11d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?	17¢	500	$85	0%	23
11d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 9%-12%?	12¢	100	$12	0%	23
11d ago	BUY Yes	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	15¢	200	$30	0%	23
11d ago	BUY Yes	Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?	1¢	216	$2.16	0%	23
11d ago	BUY Yes	Will Laura Loomer be the next White House Press Secretary?	0.6¢	66	$0.40	0%	23
11d ago	BUY Yes	Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?	0.7¢	61	$0.42	0%	23
11d ago	BUY Yes	Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?	1.1¢	14	$0.15	0%	23
11d ago	BUY Yes	Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	3¢	198	$5.94	0%	23
15d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	9¢	110	$9.94	0%	23
15d ago	BUY Yes	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	11¢	1,000	$110	0%	23
15d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?	12.6¢	250	$32	0%	23
15d ago	BUY Yes	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%?	0.9¢	14	$0.13	0%	23