sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,328

predictiondiablo

0xc9d…6789
PnL 10k+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$40.7kvol $1.89M
PnL 30d−$557gains $12.0k · losses $14.9k
PnL 7d−$762win rate 7d 58.3%
Win rate53.9%adj 53.8% · 30d 57.7%
Open value$6,623cash n/a
Positions119 / 8,626open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$60.0kbelow peak −$6,927Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 53.9% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2,45549.5¢71.6¢$1,757+$541+$122
US recession by end of 2026?No1,00777.4¢92.5¢$932+$152+$19
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?Yes2,46667.2¢35.5¢$875−$780$0
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?No1,49746¢44.5¢$666−$23−$0.35
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?No30860¢98.5¢$303+$119$0
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No27760.4¢98.9¢$274+$106+$3.24
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?No28977.5¢94¢$271+$48$0
Will the Utah Mammoth record 90+ points?Yes18162¢87.5¢$158+$46$0
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?Yes20062.8¢63.6¢$127+$1.57+$0.02
Will the Florida Panthers record 100+ points?Yes23640¢44.5¢$105+$11+$2.32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No10170¢89.5¢$91+$20+$7.00
Will the Philadelphia Flyers record 90+ points?No11124.2¢69¢$76+$50$0
Will Channing Tatum win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No7083.9¢97.8¢$68+$9.70$0
Will the Baltimore Ravens have more than 13.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?No7638¢77¢$59+$30−$11
Will Colman Domingo win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No6085.6¢96.5¢$58+$6.53$0
Will the Las Vegas Raiders have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Yes5954.7¢97.6¢$58+$25$0
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Yes19913¢25.5¢$51+$25$0
Will the San Jose Sharks record 110+ points?No5378.2¢93.5¢$49+$8.06$0
Will Bad Bunny release an album in 2026?No6249.2¢79.5¢$49+$19$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No6345.7¢75.5¢$48+$19+$534
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes16617¢24.5¢$41+$13−$22
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?Yes5810¢67.5¢$39+$34+$132
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No10527.9¢36.5¢$38+$9.05+$0.97
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?No3882.6¢99.5¢$38+$6.40$0
Will the Florida Panthers record 90+ points?Yes4043.5¢77¢$31+$13$0
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?No3137¢91.8¢$28+$17+$185
Will Como finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?Yes4026¢51.5¢$21+$10$0
Will Kyren Williams have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes4021¢50.5¢$20+$12$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1525.1¢13¢$20+$12$0
Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No1961¢99.4¢$19+$7.36$0
Will Pittsburgh make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?No2054.4¢90.1¢$18+$7.14$0
Will the Winnipeg Jets record 90+ points?No2830.6¢53.5¢$15+$6.42$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?No1675.4¢85¢$13+$1.50$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes1576¢83.5¢$13+$1.13$0
Will the Nashville Predators record 80+ points?Yes1729¢64¢$11+$5.95+$19
Will Penn State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?U 9.51255¢90.5¢$10+$4.11$0
Will the New York Rangers record 80+ points?No694.2¢14.7¢$10+$7.27$0
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027?No1182¢94.7¢$10+$1.35+$2.12
Will Stanford have more than 2.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes1073¢96.1¢$9.87+$2.37$0
Will Wildwood win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No1062.2¢97.4¢$9.73+$3.52$0
Will California have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No2440¢38¢$8.99−$0.47$0
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No879.7¢99.5¢$7.75+$1.54+$2.43
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes669.9¢11¢$7.26+$0.75$0
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes2827.2¢25.4¢$7.11−$0.52−$7.30
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?Yes774¢95.8¢$6.36+$1.44+$19
Will the Ottawa Senators record 90+ points?No209.5¢31.5¢$6.30+$4.40+$7.17
Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No657.9¢95¢$6.12+$2.39+$24
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No2348.1¢26.5¢$6.03−$4.90−$21
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?No842.3¢77.5¢$5.92+$2.69+$11
Will Carnell Tate have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes3022.7¢15¢$4.52−$2.32−$4.20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No823.4¢59¢$4.46+$2.69+$39
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No459¢99.4¢$3.98+$1.62+$37
Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No642¢69¢$3.84+$1.50+$2.99
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?No439.1¢93.5¢$3.63+$2.11−$0.87
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?No423.6¢90¢$3.31+$2.44−$12
Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes50715.1¢0.6¢$3.04−$73$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?No326.3¢87.5¢$3.02+$2.11+$12
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?Yes327.8¢92.5¢$2.86+$2.00+$2.18
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?No482.7¢70.5¢$2.60−$0.45−$25
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?No443.7¢66.5¢$2.44+$0.84+$35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1620.9¢14.8¢$2.36−$0.99$0
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins record 80+ points?Yes375¢74.5¢$2.26−$0.02+$3.20
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No533.3¢39¢$1.79+$0.26+$37
Will the Miami Dolphins have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?No235¢83.5¢$1.70+$0.98+$69
Will the New York Rangers record 100+ points?No241.3¢84.5¢$1.66+$0.85+$17
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No258¢77.5¢$1.65+$0.42+$15
Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?No269.9¢97.5¢$1.52+$0.43+$92
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes257¢81.5¢$1.51+$0.46+$5.88
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes318.1¢54.5¢$1.50+$1.00+$80
Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No258¢89.8¢$1.39+$0.49+$5.46
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No121¢99.9¢$1.28+$1.01+$3.10
Will Brock Purdy have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes241¢66.5¢$1.28+$0.49−$5.51
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat?No167¢95.2¢$1.25+$0.37+$8.64
Will Bryce Young have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes229¢59.5¢$1.23+$0.63−$4.13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1513.6¢7.9¢$1.18−$0.86$0
Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?Yes168¢95.6¢$1.03+$0.30+$7.73
Will the Kansas City Chiefs have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Yes150¢92¢$0.92+$0.42+$5.90
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1666.9¢0.5¢$0.91−$11−$0.05
Will John Harbaugh win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?No153¢89.6¢$0.90+$0.37+$8.99
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Yes514¢17.5¢$0.88+$0.17−$0.19
Will the Indianapolis Colts have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Yes151¢87¢$0.87+$0.36+$5.51
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes133.9¢56¢$0.82+$0.32+$37
Will Texas have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No522¢16.5¢$0.79−$0.26−$1.09
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes729.1¢10.5¢$0.75−$1.32−$22
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?Yes1134.3¢6.5¢$0.69−$2.93−$25
Will the Boston Bruins record 90+ points?No125.7¢39.5¢$0.40+$0.14+$54
Will the Minnesota Wild record 100+ points?Yes134¢31.5¢$0.35−$0.03+$9.94
Will the Detroit Lions have more than 12.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?Yes126¢15¢$0.18−$0.13−$1.76
Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat?Yes1027.9¢1.5¢$0.14−$2.57+$2.20
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?No752¢1.8¢$0.13−$3.54+$17
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes242.8¢0.5¢$0.01−$0.73+$7.85
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes316¢0.3¢$0.01−$0.43−$0.28
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes119¢0.2¢$0−$0.20+$2.28
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo6,24429¢0¢$0−$1,811−$39
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria1,1925¢0¢$0−$60−$1.41
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 17?Yes28118.2¢0¢$0−$51−$2.07
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?No27743.8¢0¢$0−$121−$3.40
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira19651¢0¢$0−$100−$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?No14868.1¢0¢$0−$101−$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?Yes13037.4¢0¢$0−$49−$1.52

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the Boston Bruins record 90+ points?40.4¢234$9554%65
SELL NoWill the Boston Bruins record 90+ points?44¢10$4.4054%65
SELL YesWill Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?67¢70$4754%65
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?68.1¢59$4054%65
SELL YesWill the Florida Panthers record 100+ points?59¢6$3.5454%65
SELL YesWill the Florida Panthers record 100+ points?59¢8$4.7254%65
SELL NoWill Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?65¢6$3.9054%65
SELL NoWill the Ottawa Senators record 90+ points?47¢20$9.4054%65
SELL NoWill the New York Rangers record 100+ points?81¢11$8.9154%65
SELL YesWill the Nashville Predators record 80+ points?81¢5$4.0554%65
SELL NoWill the New York Rangers record 100+ points?80¢5$4.0054%65
SELL NoWill the Boston Bruins record 90+ points?48¢14$6.7254%65
SELL NoWill the Boston Bruins record 90+ points?48¢33$1654%65
SELL NoWill the Boston Bruins record 90+ points?48¢67$3254%65
SELL U 6.5Will South Carolina have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?93¢10$9.3054%65
SELL NoWill the New York Rangers record 100+ points?70¢19$1354%65
SELL NoWill the Miami Dolphins have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?79.6¢53$4254%65
SELL NoWill the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?93.3¢510$47654%65
SELL YesWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?82¢20$1654%65
BUY YesWill "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?50¢20$1054%65