sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,848

maxdawg

0xc9f…c5e8@maxdothl
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Crypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$74.1kvol $550k
PnL 30d−$1,632gains $743 · losses $303
PnL 7d−$2,336win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate64.1%adj 61.6% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$10.9kcash n/a
Positions45 / 137open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.6%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$70.3kbelow peak −$8,898Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 64.1% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 45

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No8,54638.8¢41.5¢$3,547+$233$0
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?No1,82749.1¢52.5¢$959+$62$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No3,57039.4¢23.5¢$839−$568$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No6,93916.9¢12¢$833−$341$0
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?No1,88035.2¢37.5¢$705+$44$0
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes7,79013.8¢9¢$701−$376$0
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1,44742.7¢42¢$608−$11$0
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?No1,31128.3¢34¢$446+$74$0
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No1,91830.8¢19.5¢$374−$217$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes65034¢40.5¢$263+$42$0
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes93914.7¢28¢$263+$125$0
Extended listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Yes71217.9¢34.5¢$246+$118$0
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?No2,15857.6¢11¢$237−$1,005$0
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?No27855¢60.5¢$168+$15$0
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No1,12635.5¢13¢$146−$254$0
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes9867.6¢12¢$118+$43$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No2,06755.2¢5¢$103−$1,038$0
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?No2,16931.8¢4¢$87−$603$0
Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes33114¢23.5¢$78+$31$0
Extended listed on Revolut within 30 days of TGE?Yes11019¢50¢$55+$34$0
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No8687.4¢3.9¢$34−$30$0
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes6456¢5¢$32−$6.45$0
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No1,30912.7¢2.1¢$27−$139$0
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes72520¢2.9¢$21−$124−$11
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes16.7k0.2¢0.1¢$8.36−$26$0
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?No26612.3¢2.3¢$5.98−$27$0
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Dune 31697.1¢2.9¢$4.82−$7.14$0
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?No736¢65.5¢$4.58+$2.06+$10
Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?No321¢45.5¢$1.15+$0.62$0
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes566¢19.5¢$0.97−$2.33$0
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?No137.7¢86.3¢$0.86+$0.49+$592
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,4333.7¢0¢$0−$349$0
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0002.2¢0¢$0−$110$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No4,03144¢0¢$0−$1,774+$379
Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)Benn1,12931¢0¢$0−$350−$12
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes6677.5¢0¢$0−$50−$1.39
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No64531¢0¢$0−$200−$4.14
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes4413.4¢0¢$0−$15−$0.43
Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes38526¢0¢$0−$100−$3.70
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes29417¢0¢$0−$50−$1.25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes25040.6¢0¢$0−$101−$1.81
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchNo22110¢0¢$0−$22−$1.39
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No20017¢0¢$0−$34−$0.82
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No17030.6¢0¢$0−$52−$1.08
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes1012¢0¢$0−$1.20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoArc FDV above $2B one day after launch?52¢123$6464%70Sharp
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?29.9¢1,553$46564%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?12¢3,484$41864%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?11¢181$2064%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?26¢385$10064%70Sharp
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?35.5¢1,126$40064%70Sharp
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?36¢124$4564%70Sharp
BUY NoArc FDV above $800M one day after launch?39¢305$11964%70Sharp
BUY NoArc FDV above $800M one day after launch?36.7¢545$20064%70Sharp
BUY NoArc FDV above $1B one day after launch?39¢182$7164%70Sharp
BUY NoArc FDV above $2B one day after launch?41¢204$8464%70Sharp
BUY NoArc FDV above $3B one day after launch?55¢278$15364%70Sharp
BUY NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?16¢727$11664%70Sharp
BUY NoVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?4.3¢120$5.1664%70Sharp
BUY NoVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?4.2¢412$1764%70Sharp
BUY NoVariational FDV above $300M one day after launch?4.1¢140$5.7264%70Sharp
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?35¢80$2864%70Sharp
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?34¢75$2664%70Sharp
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?33¢86$2864%70Sharp
BUY NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?10¢3,000$30064%70Sharp