PnL all-time−$24.5kvol $520k
PnL 30d+$35gains $0 · losses $107
PnL 7d−$220win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate64.3%adj 62.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$9,263cash n/a
Positions5 / 120open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.5%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 20h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$23.9kbelow peak −$7,745Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 64.3% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Noopen+$363Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen+$171Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary? · Noclosed+$139Will Biden pardon Hillary? · Noclosed+$69Iran strike on Israel before December? · Noclosed+$55
Worst markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$8,195Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yesclosed−$3,769Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points? · Noclosed−$2,731Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? · Yesclosed−$2,225Will Biden pardon Fauci? · Noclosed−$1,696
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 7,441 | 65.6¢ | 70.5¢ | $5,246 | +$363 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,627 | 67.5¢ | 70.5¢ | $3,967 | +$171 | $0 | |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 16.8k | 0.8¢ | 0.3¢ | $50 | −$82 | −$163 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 300 | 34.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | −$426 | |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 124 | 21.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | −$128 |
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