| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31? | Yes | 1,945 | 41.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $1,507 | +$700 | $0 | |
| Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 1,121 | 91.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,048 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 39¢ | 99.6¢ | $996 | +$606 | $0 | |
| Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? | No | 1,000 | 70.8¢ | 95.3¢ | $953 | +$245 | $0 | |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | No | 984 | 83.2¢ | 88¢ | $866 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 55% or more? | No | 573 | 76.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $553 | +$115 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 627 | 75¢ | 81.5¢ | $511 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 680 | 67.7¢ | 73.8¢ | $502 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win the Kansas Governor election and Republicans win the Kansas Senate election? | No | 500 | 79.2¢ | 97.5¢ | $487 | +$91 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 16.4¢ | 47.5¢ | $475 | +$311 | $0 | |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October? | No | 460 | 87¢ | 99.5¢ | $458 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | No | 543 | 73.5¢ | 84¢ | $456 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will USC Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? | No | 540 | 46.4¢ | 78¢ | $421 | +$170 | $0 | |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 410 | 49.6¢ | 93¢ | $381 | +$178 | $0 | |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 419 | 74.4¢ | 88¢ | $369 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 354 | 91.6¢ | 96.5¢ | $341 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-11 House seat? | No | 350 | 92¢ | 96.4¢ | $337 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 30% or more? | No | 350 | 68.7¢ | 95¢ | $333 | +$92 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 55% or more? | No | 325 | 74.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $324 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 321 | 92.1¢ | 97¢ | $311 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 16.3¢ | 30.5¢ | $305 | +$142 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 1,000 | 30¢ | 30.5¢ | $305 | +$5.20 | $0 | |
| Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026? | No | 373 | 72.3¢ | 79.5¢ | $297 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 991 | 30.7¢ | 29.5¢ | $292 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 299 | 92.8¢ | 95.3¢ | $285 | +$7.36 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,800,000 and 2,950,000? | No | 414 | 63.2¢ | 65.5¢ | $271 | +$9.36 | $0 | |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | No | 586 | 55.9¢ | 44.5¢ | $261 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election by 40% or more? | No | 220 | 79.2¢ | 97.1¢ | $214 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 544 | 36¢ | 39¢ | $212 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 889 | 28.3¢ | 22.5¢ | $200 | −$52 | $0 | |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in October? | No | 201 | 82.2¢ | 99.5¢ | $200 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 35% or more? | No | 200 | 77¢ | 99.4¢ | $199 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? | No | 222 | 63.8¢ | 89¢ | $198 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 240 | 76.1¢ | 82¢ | $197 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6% or more? | No | 200 | 86¢ | 98¢ | $196 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? | No | 1,000 | 18.9¢ | 19.5¢ | $195 | +$5.58 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 35% or more? | No | 200 | 80.6¢ | 96.2¢ | $192 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 530 | 37.4¢ | 35¢ | $186 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | No | 430 | 36.2¢ | 43¢ | $185 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election? | Yes | 266 | 62.9¢ | 69.5¢ | $185 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 35% or more? | No | 190 | 79.9¢ | 95.8¢ | $182 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election by 18% or more? | No | 189 | 89¢ | 95¢ | $179 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 30% or more? | No | 180 | 76¢ | 99.2¢ | $179 | +$42 | $0 | |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 305 | 15.2¢ | 57.5¢ | $175 | +$129 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000? | No | 235 | 43.5¢ | 74¢ | $174 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027? | Yes | 258 | 17.4¢ | 65¢ | $168 | +$123 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-06 House election by 25% or more? | No | 215 | 72.7¢ | 76.5¢ | $164 | +$8.23 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000? | No | 516 | 31.1¢ | 31.5¢ | $163 | +$1.82 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,043 | 49¢ | 15.5¢ | $162 | −$349 | +$45 | |
| Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31? | No | 246 | 63.8¢ | 63.5¢ | $156 | −$0.67 | −$24 | |
| Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by December 31? | No | 204 | 56.1¢ | 76.5¢ | $156 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 30% or more? | No | 165 | 79¢ | 93.5¢ | $154 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 30% or more? | No | 159 | 80¢ | 96¢ | $153 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 158 | 90.7¢ | 96¢ | $152 | +$8.24 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 386 | 38.9¢ | 39¢ | $151 | +$0.26 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 35% or more? | No | 160 | 89.6¢ | 92.1¢ | $147 | +$3.94 | +$2.53 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 210,000 and 230,000? | No | 200 | 54¢ | 73.5¢ | $147 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election? | Yes | 200 | 75¢ | 72¢ | $144 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000? | No | 200 | 45¢ | 70¢ | $140 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 35% or more? | No | 140 | 78¢ | 95.9¢ | $134 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more? | No | 135 | 81.7¢ | 98.3¢ | $133 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | Yes | 200 | 46.9¢ | 66¢ | $132 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31? | Yes | 518 | 7.8¢ | 24.5¢ | $127 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 35% or more? | No | 130 | 77.8¢ | 95¢ | $124 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 71¢ | 61¢ | $122 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | No | 684 | 10.1¢ | 17.5¢ | $120 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000? | No | 200 | 58¢ | 58.5¢ | $117 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000? | No | 195 | 43.4¢ | 59.5¢ | $116 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 30% or more? | No | 110 | 65.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $110 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election? | No | 500 | 12¢ | 21.5¢ | $108 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? | No | 132 | 66¢ | 80.5¢ | $106 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | No | 399 | 16.5¢ | 26.3¢ | $105 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 30% or more? | No | 107 | 86.7¢ | 97.7¢ | $104 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 120 | 39.5¢ | 85.3¢ | $102 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 40% or more? | No | 104 | 75.3¢ | 98.2¢ | $102 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 120 | 84.7¢ | 81.3¢ | $98 | −$4.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election by 45% or more? | No | 99 | 72.1¢ | 98.4¢ | $97 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 70% or more? | No | 104 | 74.9¢ | 92.2¢ | $96 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? | Yes | 123 | 71.8¢ | 77.5¢ | $95 | +$7.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Wisconsin Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 513 | 15.3¢ | 18.5¢ | $95 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 642 | 8.6¢ | 14.8¢ | $95 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? | Yes | 101 | 81¢ | 92.1¢ | $93 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 571 | 23.9¢ | 15.7¢ | $89 | −$47 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be 1,800,000 or more? | No | 100 | 82.4¢ | 89.3¢ | $89 | +$6.85 | $0 | |
| Plague case in US by December 31? | Yes | 1,032 | 11.5¢ | 8.5¢ | $88 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 89 | 86.2¢ | 97.7¢ | $87 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 55% or more? | No | 95 | 71.2¢ | 90.5¢ | $86 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion? | No | 124 | 46¢ | 68.5¢ | $85 | +$28 | +$2.81 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 273 | 25.6¢ | 31¢ | $85 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 60% or more? | No | 90 | 76¢ | 93.7¢ | $84 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 96 | 72.5¢ | 87.4¢ | $84 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be 400,000 or more? | Yes | 408 | 15.7¢ | 20¢ | $81 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more? | Yes | 284 | 4.9¢ | 28.7¢ | $81 | +$67 | $0 | |
| Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027? | Yes | 84 | 78.9¢ | 96.6¢ | $81 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? | No | 140 | 47.7¢ | 57¢ | $80 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? | No | 80 | 89¢ | 99.3¢ | $79 | +$8.20 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be 4,750,000 or more? | No | 85 | 64.1¢ | 91.7¢ | $78 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 6% or more? | No | 81 | 74.5¢ | 95.2¢ | $77 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election? | Yes | 260 | 17.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $77 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000? | No | 112 | 49.5¢ | 68¢ | $76 | +$21 | $0 | |