sharpside
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Traders/Rank #897

0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0

0xcb3…6b02
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$228kvol $61.7M
PnL 30d−$2,318gains $8,228 · losses $2,960
PnL 7d−$365win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate58.6%adj 58.2% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$5,971cash n/a
Positions829 / 1,315open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.9%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 3mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$659kbelow peak −$236kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 58.6% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity62

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes304k0.4¢0.5¢$1,366+$171$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes304k0.4¢0.3¢$759−$436$0
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes304k0.4¢0.2¢$455−$740$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes304k0.4¢0.2¢$455−$740$0
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes75.6k0.4¢0.6¢$453+$156$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes107k0.4¢0.2¢$160−$260$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes107k0.4¢0.2¢$160−$260$0
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes107k0.4¢0.2¢$160−$260$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes107k0.4¢0.2¢$160−$260$0
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes107k0.4¢0.2¢$160−$260$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes107k0.4¢0.2¢$160−$260$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes304k0.4¢0.1¢$152−$1,044$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes304k0.4¢0.1¢$152−$1,044$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes304k0.4¢0.1¢$152−$1,044$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes304k0.4¢0.1¢$152−$1,044$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1380.4¢87.6¢$121+$120+$1,063
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes75.6k0.4¢0.2¢$113−$184$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes951.9¢63.5¢$60+$59+$211
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes107k0.4¢0.1¢$53−$366$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes107k0.4¢0.1¢$53−$366$0
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes102k0.4¢0.1¢$51−$351+$66
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes75.6k0.4¢0.1¢$38−$260$0
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes75.6k0.4¢0.1¢$38−$260$0
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes75.6k0.4¢0.1¢$38−$260$0
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes75.6k0.4¢0.1¢$38−$260$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8250¢42.6¢$35−$6.11−$31.8k
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9560.4¢2.4¢$22+$19+$352
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢1.4¢$22+$15$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes840.9¢25.5¢$21+$21+$19.3k
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes10.1k0.9¢0.2¢$15−$75−$194
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.7¢$10+$4.10$0
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1,5901.9¢0.7¢$10−$19$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4300.4¢2.4¢$10+$8.63+$3,551
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2940.4¢3.4¢$9.85+$8.69+$1,698
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes101.9¢95.5¢$9.55+$9.36+$1,321
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.5¢$8.80+$2.50$0
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes15650¢5.6¢$8.74−$69−$946
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.5¢$8.00+$1.70$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8390.4¢0.9¢$7.55+$4.25+$2,251
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1950.4¢2.6¢$4.97+$4.16+$238
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1670.4¢2.8¢$4.59+$3.94+$2,352
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9540.4¢0.5¢$4.29+$0.54+$410
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,1470.4¢0.4¢$4.01−$0.50+$2,446
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5740.4¢0.7¢$3.73+$1.47+$327
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes7,0470.9¢0.1¢$3.52−$59−$222
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes9120.4¢0.4¢$3.19−$0.40+$2,222
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1,0630.4¢0.3¢$3.19−$1.23+$64
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes230.4¢13.2¢$3.02+$2.93+$2,618
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?No168.6¢18.5¢$3.00+$1.61$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7670.4¢0.4¢$2.68−$0.34+$3,466
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.2¢$2.40−$3.90$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5080.4¢0.5¢$2.29+$0.29+$2,385
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,5050.4¢0.2¢$2.26−$3.67+$1,175
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4,4830.9¢0.1¢$2.24−$38−$237
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8130.4¢0.3¢$2.03−$1.17+$2,915
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5740.4¢0.4¢$2.01−$0.25+$379
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2050.4¢0.9¢$1.74+$0.89+$69
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1610.4¢1.1¢$1.69+$1.06+$1,964
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes80.4¢19.5¢$1.57+$1.54+$15.0k
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1,4901.9¢0.1¢$1.49−$26−$1.45
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4250.4¢0.4¢$1.49−$0.19+$1,892
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes9870.4¢0.2¢$1.48−$2.41+$2,213
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9520.4¢0.2¢$1.43−$2.32+$485
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5570.4¢0.3¢$1.39−$0.80+$1,635
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5450.4¢0.3¢$1.36−$0.78+$1,675
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8880.4¢0.2¢$1.33−$2.17+$718
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4270.4¢0.3¢$1.07−$0.61+$2,470
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes830.4¢1.3¢$1.04+$0.71+$2,223
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6790.4¢0.2¢$1.02−$1.65+$1,126
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No150¢98.9¢$0.99+$0.49$0
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6570.4¢0.2¢$0.99−$1.60+$1,306
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6260.4¢0.2¢$0.94−$1.53+$1,195
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6050.4¢0.2¢$0.91−$1.47+$335
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes3631.9¢0.3¢$0.91−$5.81$0
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes5881.9¢0.2¢$0.88−$10−$14
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5870.4¢0.2¢$0.88−$1.43+$230
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes390.9¢2.3¢$0.88+$0.53+$111
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5820.4¢0.2¢$0.87−$1.42+$1,237
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes5601.9¢0.2¢$0.84−$9.53−$18
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1120.4¢0.8¢$0.84+$0.40+$4,263
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2050.4¢0.4¢$0.82−$0.03+$60
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6000.4¢0.1¢$0.80−$5.50$0
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1440.4¢0.5¢$0.79+$0.19+$84
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4730.4¢0.2¢$0.71−$1.15+$2,526
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1740.4¢0.4¢$0.70−$0.03+$13
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4200.9¢0.2¢$0.63−$3.12−$270
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes5881.9¢0.1¢$0.59−$10−$16

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.1¢17.0k$1759%54
SELL YesWill Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.1¢200$0.2059%54
SELL YesWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.4¢200$0.8059%54
SELL YesWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?12¢200$2459%54
SELL YesWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?3.3¢200$6.6059%54
SELL YesWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?0.7¢200$1.4059%54
SELL YesWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.1¢200$0.2059%54
SELL YesWill Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.1¢200$0.2059%54
SELL YesWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.1¢200$0.2059%54
SELL YesWill Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.7¢200$1.4059%54
SELL YesWill Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.1¢200$0.2059%54
SELL YesWill Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.1¢200$0.2059%54
SELL YesWill Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.1¢200$0.2059%54
SELL YesWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.1¢200$0.2059%54
SELL YesWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?0.6¢149$0.8959%54
SELL YesWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?0.7¢149$1.0459%54
SELL YesWill Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?2.6¢149$3.8759%54
SELL YesWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?20¢149$3059%54
SELL YesWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?0.6¢149$0.8959%54
SELL YesWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?0.6¢149$0.8959%54