PnL all-time−$54.8kvol $3.07M
PnL 30d−$23.4kgains $15.1k · losses $43.0k
PnL 7d+$2,874win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate37.5%adj 38.8% · 30d 16.7%
Open value$39.0kcash n/a
Positions10 / 179open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$52.7kbelow peak −$76.1kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 37.5% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? · Noclosed+$25.0kWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yesclosed+$15.8kWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? · Noclosed+$14.6kIsrael closes its airspace by September 30? · Yesclosed+$13.0kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Yesclosed+$11.1k
Worst markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yesclosed−$26.8kWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yesclosed−$26.4kIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Noclosed−$18.5kIsrael closes its airspace by June 30? · Yesclosed−$13.5kIsrael closes its airspace by August 31? · Yesclosed−$12.3k
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 60.7k | 39.1¢ | 44¢ | $26.7k | +$2,997 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 50.6k | 23.2¢ | 20.5¢ | $10.4k | −$1,346 | $0 | |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.0k | 10¢ | 8¢ | $1,762 | −$437 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 20.0k | 8.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $1,100 | −$600 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 196 | 33¢ | 37.5¢ | $74 | +$8.83 | $0 | |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30? | Yes | 1,519 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$152 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,186 | 18.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$220 | $0 | |
| Dota 2: YBN Team vs Stray Team - Game 2 Winner | Stray Team | 1,000 | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$450 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 8 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.49 | $0 | |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | PARIVISION | 789 | 45.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$358 | −$3.54 |
Recent trades
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