sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,142

Robust-Exhaust

0xcb5…0160
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$557vol $1.88M
PnL 30d−$42.6kgains $3,679 · losses $817
PnL 7d−$17.0kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate92.1%adj 85.1% · 30d 71.4%
Open value$107kcash n/a
Positions30 / 131open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 13d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,360below peak −$47.3kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 92.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d55
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 30

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes55.1k85.4¢90.5¢$49.9k+$2,835$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes16.1k81.3¢81.5¢$13.1k+$40$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo12.0k88.2¢91.5¢$11.0k+$400$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes10.0k77¢73.5¢$7,350−$350$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No5,40073¢92.5¢$4,995+$1,053$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes31.6k33.5¢15.5¢$4,878−$5,695−$918
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No4,50082¢93.5¢$4,207+$517$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No2,50082¢95.5¢$2,387+$337$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes2,50092¢87.5¢$2,188−$113$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes9,00030¢15.5¢$1,395−$1,305$0
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1,25697.7¢100¢$1,255+$28$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes35.0k2¢3.2¢$1,103+$403$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No1,51175.6¢57.5¢$869−$273$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No65064¢96.9¢$630+$214$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes71278¢58.5¢$417−$139$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes5,50021¢6.5¢$358−$797$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No50049¢62.5¢$313+$68$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes6,7604.4¢2.5¢$166−$135$0
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes50.0k0.2¢0.2¢$75−$25$0
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1,6005¢0.1¢$0.80−$79$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes60.0k47¢0¢$0−$28.2k$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No14.5k90¢0¢$0−$13.1k$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No13.1k88¢0¢$0−$11.5k$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes10,00030.3¢0¢$0−$3,027$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes8,00088.1¢0¢$0−$7,050$0
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes8,0001.6¢0¢$0−$128−$5.04
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes6,00018¢0¢$0−$1,080$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No85070¢0¢$0−$595$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETUp20660.8¢0¢$0−$125−$3.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETUp2342.9¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.40

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99.5¢6,472$6,43992%40
BUY YesFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?21¢930$19592%40
BUY YesWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?0.2¢12.6k$2592%40
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?99.1¢40$4092%40
BUY YesWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?80¢2,300$1,84092%40
BUY YesWill Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1.6¢8,000$12892%40
BUY NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?98.5¢851$83892%40
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?98.9¢13.6k$13.4k92%40Whale
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?82¢6,880$5,64292%40
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?95¢3,659$3,47692%40
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?98.3¢748$73592%40
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?98.5¢14.8k$14.6k92%40Whale
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?95.8¢605$57992%40
BUY NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?96.9¢3,167$3,06992%40
BUY NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?96.8¢810$78492%40
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?96.7¢1,014$98192%40
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?80¢4,694$3,75592%40
BUY NoWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?95.7¢563$53992%40
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House89¢2,000$1,78092%40
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?95¢6,000$5,70092%40