sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,515

GoldenSpin

0xcba…6055
1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,281vol $3.32M
PnL 30d+$4,591gains $3,258 · losses $943
PnL 7d+$4,438win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate44.0%adj 44.6% · 30d 57.1%
Open value$2,353cash n/a
Positions79 / 273open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,908below peak −$21.4kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 44.0% · shrunk toward 50%12
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 79

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes5,6181.2¢22.9¢$1,284+$1,217$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes30.0k0.2¢1.8¢$525+$465$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes4,3310.3¢4.6¢$197+$184$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes10.7k0.1¢0.9¢$96+$85$0
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes46.4k0.1¢0.2¢$70+$23$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2292.6¢29¢$66+$60$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes4000.3¢10.3¢$41+$40$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes12.8k0.1¢0.3¢$38+$26$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes24.3k0.1¢0.2¢$37+$12$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?Down130k0.3¢0¢$0−$399$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes102k1.6¢0¢$0−$1,669$0
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes85.0k2.7¢0¢$0−$2,324$0
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?Yes54.3k0.4¢0¢$0−$236$0
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes50.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes50.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$50$0
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes47.9k2.1¢0¢$0−$991−$1,119
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes31.7k1.3¢0¢$0−$403$0
Will Karoline Leavitt say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?Yes25.0k2¢0¢$0−$500$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes22.0k0.5¢0¢$0−$103$0
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes21.9k1.1¢0¢$0−$241$0
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes20.5k0.2¢0¢$0−$51−$61
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 18?Up17.7k0.2¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes16.7k0.3¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tariff event on April 2?Yes14.5k1.7¢0¢$0−$246$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes13.7k0.7¢0¢$0−$94−$6.54
Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?Yes12.5k2¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?No12.5k2¢0¢$0−$250$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 11?Up12.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$72$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes10.0k0.5¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes10,0001¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 29-July 5?Yes9,0171.9¢0¢$0−$170−$12
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 26, 2026?Yes9,0080.5¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?Yes9,0000.5¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?Yes9,0000.6¢0¢$0−$54$0
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?Yes9,0000.5¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 29, 2026?Yes8,8270.2¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?No8,27616.1¢0¢$0−$1,332$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes8,0001.1¢0¢$0−$87−$6.03
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 30, 2026?Yes7,0001.3¢0¢$0−$91$0
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?Yes6,5202.2¢0¢$0−$143−$0.26
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28?Up5,9793.8¢0¢$0−$225$0
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?Yes5,9400.2¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes5,8001.3¢0¢$0−$78−$0.23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes5,5674.5¢0¢$0−$250−$0.87
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1?Down4,7463.7¢0¢$0−$178+$15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11?No4,7000.3¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Powell say "Median" during September press conference?No4,4457¢0¢$0−$311$0
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?No4,23110.3¢0¢$0−$438$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 29-July 5?Yes4,0003.7¢0¢$0−$148−$9.98
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes4,0002¢0¢$0−$80$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?Down3,98635¢0¢$0−$1,395−$63
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 5-11?No3,57028¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22?Up3,0008¢0¢$0−$240$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7?Up2,39913.2¢0¢$0−$317$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No2,00049¢0¢$0−$980−$17
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3?Up1,9998.9¢0¢$0−$177$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 24?Up1,8002.7¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 12-18?Yes1,7268¢0¢$0−$138$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?Down1,70026¢0¢$0−$442−$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown1,5001¢0¢$0−$15$0
Bitcoin above $106,000 on May 27?No1,4656¢0¢$0−$88$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21?Down1,30026.8¢0¢$0−$348$0
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes1,12811¢0¢$0−$124−$5.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETDown1,04018.7¢0¢$0−$195−$362
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?Yes1,0001.2¢0¢$0−$12$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown9932.4¢0¢$0−$24$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?Down86833¢0¢$0−$286−$13
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15?Up76823¢0¢$0−$177−$43
Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?Yes6126¢0¢$0−$37−$373
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETUp39648¢0¢$0−$190−$6.89
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 16-22?Yes3371¢0¢$0−$3.37$0
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in May 2026?Yes3080.3¢0¢$0−$0.92−$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp3001¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Yes2913.9¢0¢$0−$11−$15
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in May 2026?Yes2620.3¢0¢$0−$0.79−$0.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETUp1103¢0¢$0−$3.30$0
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in May 2026?Yes230.2¢0¢$0−$0.05$0
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in May 2026?Yes150.2¢0¢$0−$0.03$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes1015.4¢0¢$0−$1.54$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?16.2¢291$4744%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?2.5¢2,873$7244%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?18.6¢275$5144%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?3.4¢352$1244%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?17.9¢230$4144%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?3.5¢462$1644%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?19.7¢381$7544%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?19.2¢47$9.0044%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?30¢229$6944%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?12.3¢293$3644%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?3.3¢410$1444%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?20.2¢326$6644%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?19.3¢389$7544%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?1¢1,744$1744%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.5¢1,569$8.1344%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.1¢5,851$8.1044%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.1¢5,212$5.2144%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.1¢5,718$5.7244%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?19.2¢469$9044%30
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?4.1¢235$9.7444%30