sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,472

Shady-Tool

0xcba…9a8a
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$31.8kvol $3.80M
PnL 30d−$1,718gains $8,370 · losses $2,041
PnL 7d−$4,900win rate 7d 60.0%
Win rate85.1%adj 83.7% · 30d 86.7%
Open value$53.9kcash n/a
Positions38 / 538open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5.5ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$32.0kbelow peak −$70.0kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 85.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$32.1kMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$9,471Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? · Noclosed+$6,931Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · Noclosed+$6,367Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Noclosed+$5,728

Worst markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? · Noopen−$78.2kWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? · Noopen−$26.1kIran closes its airspace by June 8? · Noclosed−$11.6kUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Noclosed−$3,200Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? · Noclosed−$3,036

Open positions · 38

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No11.5k90¢90.5¢$10.4k+$57+$180
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?No8,69691.7¢94.3¢$8,196+$223$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No6,66684¢84.5¢$5,633+$33$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?Yes3,96793.9¢96¢$3,808+$84$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?Yes3,47295¢96.4¢$3,345+$47$0
Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?No3,28197.7¢98.3¢$3,225+$20$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No3,33386¢90.5¢$3,016+$150$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,33384¢84.4¢$2,811+$12$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?No2,86995¢96.9¢$2,780+$55$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes16.8k29.4¢15.5¢$2,609−$2,344+$270
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No3,33351¢65.5¢$2,183+$483$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No3,33352¢61.5¢$2,050+$317$0
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?No1,59254¢57¢$908+$48$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,35171¢64.5¢$871−$88$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No3,47721¢16.5¢$574−$156$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes56292¢96.8¢$544+$27$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,7777.8¢7¢$541−$66$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes50029¢17.8¢$89−$56$0
Will Republicans win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?No9986.2¢88.3¢$88+$2.02$0
Bills vs. RamsBills22243¢38.5¢$85−$9.99$0
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?Yes12064¢65.5¢$79+$1.80$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?No7692¢98.4¢$75+$4.87$0
Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes4050¢58.5¢$23+$3.38$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1395¢96.7¢$13+$0.23$0
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?Yes362¢91.5¢$2.34+$0.76$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?No96.0k81.1¢0¢$0−$77.8k−$397
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No27.0k90.9¢0¢$0−$24.5k−$1,601
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?Yes17.4k10.2¢0¢$0−$1,780−$17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes10.0k0.9¢0¢$0−$87$0
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes9,70820.1¢0¢$0−$1,947$0
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves95043¢0¢$0−$409$0
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?Yes6656.2¢0¢$0−$41−$29
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersTampa Bay Rays19541¢0¢$0−$80−$1.41
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins18837¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No17458.2¢0¢$0−$101$0
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?No6991.7¢0¢$0−$63−$0.21
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?Yes6014¢0¢$0−$8.40−$0.29
Will Atlanta Braves advance to the NLCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?Yes522¢0¢$0−$1.10$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Republicans win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats?88.5¢79$7085%44
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?80¢1,500$1,20085%44
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?99¢2,222$2,20085%44
BUY NoWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?98.5¢275$27185%44
BUY New York YankeesBoston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees98¢1,774$1,73985%44
BUY NoRepublican House odds hit 15% by October 31?93¢3,180$2,95785%44
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?99.9¢6,361$6,35485%44
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?99.8¢183$18385%44
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?99.9¢99$9985%44
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?99.7¢9,787$9,75885%44
BUY NoAndrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?99.4¢3,085$3,06685%44
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?56.4¢1,000$56485%44
SELL Penn StateWisconsin vs. Penn State85¢260$22185%44
BUY Penn StateWisconsin vs. Penn State97.1¢156$15185%44
BUY Miami (FL)Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL)99.9¢336$33585%44
BUY FloridaOle Miss vs. Florida99.9¢5,100$5,09585%44
BUY FloridaOle Miss vs. Florida99.8¢100$10085%44
BUY FloridaOle Miss vs. Florida99.5¢41$4185%44
BUY Florida StateCentral Arkansas vs. Florida State99.9¢741$74185%44
BUY TexasTexas vs. Tennessee99¢450$44585%44