sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,473

HOG993

0xcbb…dbff
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$133kvol $186M
PnL 30d−$1,469gains $5,756 · losses $8,208
PnL 7d+$845win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate45.6%adj 45.8% · 30d 31.7%
Open value$46.9kcash n/a
Positions125 / 1,608open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.8%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 31d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$101kbelow peak −$472kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 45.6% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes81.7k50¢18.5¢$15.1k−$25.7k−$252
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No22.3k50¢51.5¢$11.5k+$323$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes22.3k50¢48.6¢$10.8k−$323$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16.2k50¢12.5¢$2,028−$6,083$0
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes45.6k1.4¢3.8¢$1,711+$1,059+$1,434
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes55.4k1.4¢2.4¢$1,301+$510+$587
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16.2k1.2¢4.5¢$730+$532$0
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes82.6k1.4¢0.9¢$702−$478$0
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes82.6k1.4¢0.8¢$619−$560$0
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes23.3k2.2¢1.9¢$442−$64+$288
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes10.9k1.4¢3.1¢$333+$177+$1,428
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes29.8k1.4¢1¢$283−$143−$173
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes56.6k1.4¢0.3¢$141−$667−$293
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes53.5k1.4¢0.3¢$134−$630−$328
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes82.6k1.4¢0.2¢$124−$1,055$0
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes11.3k1.4¢1¢$107−$54−$61
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes42.8k1.4¢0.2¢$64−$547−$488
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes9,1460.4¢0.6¢$55+$19$0
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes30.7k2.2¢0.2¢$46−$621$0
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes30.7k2.2¢0.2¢$46−$621$0
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes30.7k2.2¢0.2¢$46−$621$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢1.4¢$39+$27$0
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes14.9k1.4¢0.3¢$37−$176−$754
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0.1¢$34−$357$0
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0.1¢$34−$357$0
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0.1¢$34−$357$0
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0.1¢$34−$357$0
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0.1¢$34−$357$0
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes59.0k0.6¢0.1¢$29−$306−$33
Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16.2k1.2¢0.2¢$24−$173$0
Will Viking win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16.2k1.2¢0.2¢$24−$173$0
Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16.2k1.2¢0.2¢$24−$173$0
Will LASK win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16.2k1.2¢0.2¢$24−$173$0
Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16.2k1.2¢0.2¢$24−$173$0
Will Slovan Bratislava win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16.2k1.2¢0.2¢$24−$173$0
Will AEK Athens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16.2k1.2¢0.2¢$24−$173$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.7¢$19+$7.35$0
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes6871.2¢2.4¢$16+$7.76+$308
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.5¢$16+$4.48$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes31.3k0.6¢0.1¢$16−$162−$139
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.5¢$14+$3.05$0
Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes5,7181.2¢0.3¢$14−$55−$97
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes9,1460.4¢0.2¢$14−$22$0
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes9,0332.2¢0.2¢$14−$183−$428
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes9,1460.4¢0.1¢$4.57−$31$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.2¢$4.30−$6.98$0
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,0000.4¢0.1¢$2.50−$17+$8.55
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,0000.4¢0.1¢$2.50−$17+$17
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,0000.4¢0.1¢$2.50−$17+$13
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,0000.4¢0.1¢$2.50−$17+$13
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,0000.4¢0.1¢$2.50−$17+$4.41
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,0000.4¢0.1¢$2.50−$17+$13
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,0000.4¢0.1¢$2.50−$17−$8.03
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,0000.4¢0.1¢$2.50−$17+$13
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,0000.4¢0.1¢$2.50−$17+$8.55
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5,0000.4¢0.1¢$2.50−$17+$13
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4,7210.4¢0.1¢$2.36−$16+$12
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3,9230.4¢0.1¢$1.96−$13+$9.49
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,8660.4¢0.1¢$1.43−$9.85$0
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3210.6¢0.1¢$1.16−$12−$150
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$392−$0.06
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$392−$0.06
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$392−$0.06
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$392−$0.06
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$392−$0.06
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$392−$0.06
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$392−$0.06
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$392−$0.06
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$392−$0.06
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes69.0k0.6¢0¢$0−$392−$0.06
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes66.9k0.6¢0¢$0−$380−$12
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes52.8k0.6¢0¢$0−$300−$59
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION39.9k40¢0¢$0−$16.0k+$94
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBoomBoys35.4k54.6¢0¢$0−$19.4k−$31
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit9,95555¢0¢$0−$5,474$0
Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?Yes7,6822.6¢0¢$0−$202+$36
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group StageAurora6,30041.5¢0¢$0−$2,614−$2.15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit2,80031.5¢0¢$0−$883−$0.92
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerBoomBoys2,50043.1¢0¢$0−$1,078−$1.24
Will Taylor Townsend win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2,0000.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Magda Linette win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2,0000.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2,0000.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Katerina Siniakova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2,0000.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Maja Chwalinska win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2,0000.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Peyton Stearns win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2,0000.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Caty McNally win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2,0000.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Camila Osorio win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2,0000.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2,0000.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Ann Li win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes2,0000.8¢0¢$0−$15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?0.1¢1,029$1.0346%40
SELL YesWill François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?0.1¢506$0.5146%40
SELL YesWill Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?0.3¢7,957$2446%40
SELL YesWill Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?0.8¢6,971$5646%40
SELL YesWill Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?0.9¢100$0.9046%40
BUY TEAM VISIONDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner31¢107$3346%40
BUY TEAM VISIONDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner43¢1,111$47846%40
BUY TEAM VISIONDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner42¢102$4346%40
BUY TEAM VISIONDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner41¢327$13446%40
BUY BoomBoysDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner34¢555$18946%40
BUY BoomBoysDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner20¢200$4046%40
BUY BoomBoysDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner29¢15$4.2646%40
BUY BoomBoysDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner67¢1,241$83246%40
BUY BoomBoysDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner67¢140$9446%40
BUY BoomBoysDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner67¢534$35846%40
BUY BoomBoysDota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner67¢756$50646%40
SELL YesWill Team Yandex Win The International 2026?8.2¢132$1146%40
SELL YesWill Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?2.3¢320$7.3646%40
BUY Iron WingDota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage48¢400$19246%40
BUY Iron WingDota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage58¢152$8846%40