PnL all-time+$83vol $1.17M
PnL 30d−$553gains $911 · losses $1,493
PnL 7d−$251win rate 7d 98.4%
Win rate99.0%adj 97.1% · 30d 99.0%
Open value$430cash n/a
Positions2 / 3,297open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$728below peak −$2,325Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale27
Adjusted win rateraw 99.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 5? · Noclosed+$110Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 92-93°F on October 3? · Noclosed+$92Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 26? · Noclosed+$61Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 94-95°F on September 9? · Noclosed+$53Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 6? · Noclosed+$44
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9? · Noclosed−$484Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 2? · Noclosed−$474Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19? · Noclosed−$457Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 16? · Noclosed−$78Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 1? · Noclosed−$49
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12? | No | 401 | 99.5¢ | 99.6¢ | $399 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 100 | 29¢ | 30.5¢ | $31 | +$1.50 | $0 |
Recent trades
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