sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,875

0xcbd…6a49

0xcbd…6a49
WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,053vol $1.58M
PnL 30d+$830gains $1,376 · losses $16
PnL 7d+$348win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate62.5%adj 56.8% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$8,736cash n/a
Positions37 / 63open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9.85below peak −$3,200Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 62.5% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 37

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes4,94838.5¢37.5¢$1,856−$49−$61
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No2,99319.7¢36¢$1,078+$488$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes2,01537.4¢41.5¢$836+$83−$221
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes10.2k6.5¢6.3¢$640−$23$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes20.7k2.8¢2.7¢$550−$36−$1,275
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes21.5k3.2¢2.4¢$506−$193$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes5,83316.8¢8¢$467−$511$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes103k1.4¢0.4¢$361−$1,107+$52
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes46.0k0.9¢0.7¢$299−$135$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes5,7353.3¢4.6¢$264+$72$0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Yes4,5496.5¢5.8¢$262−$35$0
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes1,36718.2¢16.5¢$226−$23$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes56740¢38.5¢$218−$8.50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?Yes4,7713.6¢3.6¢$172+$1.77$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes25459¢57.5¢$146−$3.81$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes4,8151.9¢2.6¢$125+$34$0
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes3,01510¢3.6¢$109−$191$0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Yes1,1729.2¢9¢$106−$2.62$0
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Yes43616¢22¢$96+$26$0
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes36517.8¢22¢$80+$15$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.6k1¢0.7¢$69−$35$0
Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes2,5761.9¢2.6¢$66+$16$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes48913¢11.5¢$56−$7.33$0
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes25919.3¢21.5¢$56+$5.67$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,2130.6¢1¢$50+$18$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No2462¢61.5¢$15−$0.12$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes51910.4¢1.8¢$9.35−$44−$140
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes765.3¢10.9¢$8.27+$4.27$0
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Yes1500.7¢5¢$7.43+$6.43$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes9004.2¢0.5¢$4.05−$33−$21
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Yes273.6¢6.4¢$1.75+$0.75$0
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 0%-10%?Yes611.7¢1.4¢$0.82−$0.18$0
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes5,14645.6¢0¢$0−$2,345−$44
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?No73567.5¢0¢$0−$496$0
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes62536¢0¢$0−$225$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes50060¢0¢$0−$300−$6.00
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes18233¢0¢$0−$60$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?10¢325$3263%30
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?37¢270$10063%30
SELL YesWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2.3¢6,133$14163%30
BUY YesWill the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?17¢12$2.0063%30
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?35¢1,261$44163%30
SELL YesWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2.3¢20.5k$47363%30
BUY NoWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?62¢24$1563%30
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?36¢47$1763%30
BUY YesWill Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?3.6¢27$1.0063%30
BUY YesWill Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 0%-10%?1.7¢61$1.0063%30
SELL YesWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2.4¢825$2063%30
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?7.9¢51$4.0063%30
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?36¢2,419$87163%30
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82.2¢1,101$90463%30
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?6.5¢155$1063%30
SELL YesWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2.6¢8,470$21863%30
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?6.3¢16$1.0063%30
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?1.9¢4,815$9163%30
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?8.4¢36$3.0063%30
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?2.6¢39$1.0063%30