sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,850

shtnmachine

0xcc2…9563
WR 70+WR 60+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,441vol $1.57M
PnL 30d−$133kgains $58.1k · losses $21.8k
PnL 7d−$8,607win rate 7d 75.5%
Win rate73.4%adj 72.5% · 30d 73.4%
Open value$19.3kcash n/a
Positions915 / 1,862open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.1%of equity peak
Account age35dlast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,978below peak −$1,886Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.4% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity1

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will England win on 2026-09-26? · Noclosed+$2,379Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? · Noclosed+$1,947Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Yesclosed+$1,586Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-04? · Noopen+$1,454Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? · Noclosed+$1,316

Worst markets

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-10? · Noopen−$3,594Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? · Noopen−$2,676Will Mexico vs. Peru end in a draw? · Noclosed−$2,574Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? · Noopen−$2,155Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18? · Yesopen−$1,942

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No1,82280¢100¢$1,821+$363$0
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No1,50070¢100¢$1,499+$449$0
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10?No1,50079¢100¢$1,499+$314$0
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-10?Yes1,49320¢100¢$1,492+$1,194$0
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?No1,50082¢99¢$1,485+$255$0
Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Yes1,12175.5¢100¢$1,121+$274$0
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?No1,50061¢59.5¢$893−$23$0
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 5.5Over70825.7¢100¢$708+$526$0
Ipswich Town FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over70643.4¢100¢$706+$399$0
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over63891.8¢100¢$637+$52$0
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Augsburg54450¢100¢$544+$272$0
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Over50051.5¢100¢$500+$242$0
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5Over50078.5¢100¢$500+$107$0
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over50072.5¢100¢$500+$137$0
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over50128.5¢99.5¢$499+$356$0
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-10?No32995¢100¢$329+$16$0
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC30187¢100¢$301+$39$0
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over29567.7¢100¢$295+$95$0
Ipswich Town FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Over28126.5¢100¢$281+$207$0
Deportivo Alavés vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over50072¢55.5¢$278−$83$0
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 0526394¢100¢$263+$16−$5.72
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 6.5Over26015.1¢100¢$260+$221$0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over42965.6¢60.5¢$259−$22$0
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreYes25075¢100¢$250+$62$0
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Augsburg25092¢100¢$250+$20$0
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC25081¢99.6¢$249+$46−$78
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5Under25087¢88¢$220+$2.50$0
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-10?No23180¢93.6¢$216+$31$0
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5Under25075¢75.5¢$189+$1.25$0
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona25072¢71.5¢$179−$1.25$0
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over14594¢100¢$145+$8.65$0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes46846¢29.5¢$138−$77$0
Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)FC Augsburg10593¢100¢$105+$7.29−$108
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?No60628¢14.5¢$88−$82+$89
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-10?Yes8695¢8.5¢$74+$30$0
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over67614.8¢10.8¢$73−$27$0
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10?Yes90928¢7.5¢$68−$186$0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over25019¢23¢$58+$10$0
Ipswich Town FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Over63022¢8.8¢$55−$83$0
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)Hamburger SV4472.4¢100¢$44+$12$0
Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Over25028¢15.5¢$39−$31$0
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes25039¢14¢$35−$63$0
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid26220.2¢12.5¢$33−$20$0
Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 0.5Over2698¢100¢$26+$0.52$0
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under2577¢100¢$25+$5.74$0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over1495¢15.5¢$23+$16$0
Deportivo Alavés vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Over11426¢15.5¢$18−$12$0
Lille OSC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Over12928¢11.5¢$15−$21$0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5Over1477¢100¢$14+$3.24$0
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 6.5Over51832¢0.5¢$2.33−$164$0
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC2504¢0.8¢$2.00−$8.00$0
Spread: Chelsea FC (-3.5)AFC Bournemouth28213.6¢0.5¢$1.41−$37+$7.46
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-10?No52221¢0.1¢$0.26−$109$0
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over50639.6¢0.1¢$0.25−$200+$26
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 7.5Over5004.5¢0.1¢$0.25−$22$0
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 6.5Over43423.5¢0.1¢$0.22−$102$0
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?Yes39810¢0.1¢$0.20−$40+$34
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 5.5Under25048¢0.1¢$0.13−$120$0
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-3.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen25013¢0.1¢$0.13−$32$0
Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under24329.9¢0.1¢$0.12−$73$0
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 7.5Over23413.7¢0.1¢$0.12−$32$0
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth21984.7¢0.1¢$0.11−$185$0
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 5.5Over21128.4¢0.1¢$0.11−$60+$62
FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Under14913¢0.1¢$0.07−$19+$37
Spread: Chelsea FC (-4.5)Chelsea FC913¢0.5¢$0.05−$1.13$0
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under814¢0.1¢$0−$1.09$0
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?No8,21325.7¢0¢$0−$2,111−$43
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?No4,38659.6¢0¢$0−$2,615−$61
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-10?No4,05588.6¢0¢$0−$3,594$0
Will Estonia win on 2026-10-03?No3,9206.5¢0¢$0−$257$0
Will France win on 2026-10-05?No3,78137.9¢0¢$0−$1,435$0
Will England win on 2026-09-29?No3,53828.4¢0¢$0−$1,003+$214
Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?No3,43317.6¢0¢$0−$603$0
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18?Yes3,30458.5¢0¢$0−$1,932−$10
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes3,30343.8¢0¢$0−$1,445$0
Will South Africa win on 2026-10-04?No3,29012.7¢0¢$0−$417+$15
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15?No3,27248.7¢0¢$0−$1,595$0
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?Yes3,01122¢0¢$0−$663+$222
Will Moldova win on 2026-10-02?No3,0006.8¢0¢$0−$205$0
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?No3,00040.5¢0¢$0−$1,215$0
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-15?No3,00063.5¢0¢$0−$1,905$0
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?No3,0009¢0¢$0−$270$0
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-17?Yes3,00030¢0¢$0−$900$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?No3,0007¢0¢$0−$210$0
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes3,00026.9¢0¢$0−$808$0
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?No3,00026.5¢0¢$0−$795$0
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?No3,00018¢0¢$0−$540$0
Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02?No3,00053.6¢0¢$0−$1,608$0
Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-12?Yes2,89334.5¢0¢$0−$998$0
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?Yes2,7685¢0¢$0−$138+$210
Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29?No2,71761.1¢0¢$0−$1,661−$31
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?Yes2,70519.2¢0¢$0−$520$0
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-09-28?No2,65940.2¢0¢$0−$1,068$0
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?No2,59914¢0¢$0−$364$0
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?No2,37815.1¢0¢$0−$359+$264
Will Scotland win on 2026-09-26?Yes2,36019.3¢0¢$0−$455$0
Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?No2,32738.5¢0¢$0−$896+$53
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?No2,21552¢0¢$0−$1,151$0
Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?No2,1438.4¢0¢$0−$180$0
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-25?No1,90774.1¢0¢$0−$1,413$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?99.9¢2,944$2,94173%43
SELL YesCroatia vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score99.9¢303$30273%43
SELL OverCroatia vs. Spain: O/U 1.599.9¢531$53073%43
SELL YesWill Switzerland win on 2026-10-06?99.9¢1,735$1,73473%43
SELL YesWill England win on 2026-10-06?99.9¢1,500$1,49973%43
SELL NoWill Belgium win on 2026-10-05?99.9¢3,506$3,50273%43
SELL NoWill Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw?99.9¢1,500$1,49973%43
SELL NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.8¢5,005$4,99573%43
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.9¢5,005$5,00073%43
SELL NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.8¢10.0k$9,99073%43
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.9¢10.0k$10.0k73%43
SELL NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.8¢1,001$99973%43
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.9¢1,001$1,00073%43
SELL NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.8¢10$9.9973%43
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.9¢10$1073%43
BUY YesWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?14.2¢9$1.2873%43
BUY NoWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?85.9¢9$7.7373%43
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?87¢9$7.8373%43
BUY YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?14¢9$1.2673%43
SELL Marta KostyukUS Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova89¢1$0.9973%43